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Eco Recycling LtdQ2 FY23

Eco Recycling Ltd

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • Industry size is 3.2 million metric tons with a 27% CAGR, expected to grow from USD 4 billion to USD 10 billion in 4 years (Page 5).
  • Company targets achieving at least 1% market share of this large growing industry within 2 to 3 years (Page 14).
  • Capacity expansion from 7,200 MT to 25,000 MT anticipated, with revenue potential of INR 120-150/kg, leading to projected top-line of INR 300-350 crores at full utilization (Pages 7, 19).
  • Reverse logistics and EPR related services expected to generate revenues above commodity sales (Page 21).
  • Growth driven by stricter regulatory implementation and formalization of industry, increasing collection and recycling obligations (Page 11).
  • Quarterly growth expected to continue sustainably with no seasonal impact, margins expected to hold or improve (Page 14).
  • New capacity to be operational by December end to support increased volumes (Page 21).

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company aims to achieve substantial revenue growth by increasing capacity utilization from current 25% to 100%+, potentially reaching INR 300-350 crores top line with expanded capacity.
  • Profitability is expected to improve with scale due to no interest burden and operational leverage; even 25% utilization is currently profitable.
  • Margins are expected to improve with stricter supplier pricing discipline and benefits from the regulatory Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) implementation.
  • Focus on value-driven business rather than volume, emphasizing profitability and efficient capital use.
  • The company targets capturing at least a 1% market share of the USD 4 billion e-waste industry within 2-3 years, driving earnings growth.
  • Growth is supported by regulatory drivers, increased compliance from producers, and expansion of services like data destruction and lamp recycling.
  • Quarterly growth is expected to be stable or improving, with no seasonality in the e-waste sector.

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Fundraise plans

No
  • The company has not undertaken any borrowing so far; all capex for land, building, and plant advances (INR 25 crores already invested, additional INR 20 crores planned for FY23-24) is funded through internal accruals and liquidation of liquid assets.
  • The management emphasized the company being a zero-debt entity currently with no interest burden.
  • Future investment needs (like the additional INR 20 crores planned) are expected to be funded from internal cash flows and liquid investments, with no mention of raising debt or equity.
  • There is no indication in the transcript of any immediate or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the near future.

Order book

  • The company operates with a mix of contract types: one-year, three-year contracts with corporates, spot inquiries, and competitive bidding/tender processes.
  • They do not rely solely on just-in-time orders; rather, there is visibility and confidence in the order book to support investments.
  • The management expressed strong confidence in the existing order book and pipeline, citing that without this certainty, their investment of INR 50 crores for capacity enhancement would not be justified.
  • The brands they deal with have significant market shares, providing a reliable source of orders.
  • There is no explicit numeric value provided for the current or pending orderbook, but the tone suggests a stable and sizable pipeline supporting growth plans.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Current capacity is 7,200 metric tons, with plans to expand to 25,000 metric tons.
  • Expansion capex estimated around INR 45 crores to INR 30 crores.
  • INR 25 crores already invested in land, buildings, plant, and advances.
  • Additional INR 20 crores to be infused during FY23-24 from internal accruals; no borrowing involved.
  • The expanded facility is expected to start operations by December end.
  • The company prefers a centralized recycling facility rather than multiple locations.
  • Expansion aims to capture increasing market opportunity driven by regulatory EPR compliance and rising e-waste volumes.
  • The 7,200 ton capacity can potentially be utilized up to 150% due to manual dismantling/refurbishing processes, handling up to 10,000 tons effectively.

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