Frontier Springs Ltd

Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

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fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Currently, the management has no intention to increase liquidity or go to the market through public or rights issues unless they encounter a very good project requiring it. - No current plans for fundraising via debt or equity unless a strategic need arises. - The company is funding capacity expansion, such as the 6-tonne hammer installation and air spring capacity increase, through internal accruals and existing resources. - No additional CAPEX is required to reach Rs.350 crores revenue; some CAPEX (Rs.10-20 crores) might be required to reach Rs.500 crores, expected after 1.5 years. - The company already has adequate land and facilities; expansions will focus on bottlenecks rather than greenfield projects. - No mention of new fundraising initiatives in the immediate future.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Current CAPEX includes installation of a new 6-tonne hammer with a total investment of around ₹4 crore (₹2.5 crore spent so far). - The 6-tonne hammer is expected to start contributing from Q3 FY25, adding ₹15-20 crore revenue this year and ₹50-60 crore from next year. - An additional ₹10-15 crore CAPEX is anticipated between FY26-27 to address capacity bottlenecks and support growth from ₹350 crore to ₹500 crore revenue. - This CAPEX will enhance capacities across coil springs, air springs, and forging segments, including coil spring machines, air spring machines, and CNC finishing machines for forging. - Capacity expansion will be within existing land; no new land bank is required up to ₹500 crore revenue target. - Air spring division capacity expansion of facilities and shed is underway, expected to complete in two months. - Any further liquidity raising or market fund raising is not planned unless needed for a very significant new project.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Targeting Rs. 500 crores gross sales by FY26-27, up from Rs. 250 crores expected in FY25 and Rs. 150 crores in FY24. - Current capacity supports up to Rs. 350 crores; further CAPEX will address bottlenecks to reach Rs. 500 crores. - Ongoing capacity expansions in coil springs, forging, and air springs to meet demand growth. - 6-tonne hammer installation expected to add Rs. 15-20 crores revenue in FY25 and Rs. 50-60 crores from FY26 onwards. - Air spring capacity currently meets 50% of Indian Railway's 7,000 coaches requirement, with plans to increase. - Continuous inflow of orders with a robust order book of around Rs. 850 crores spanning coil springs, forging, and air springs. - Confident in sustaining and gradually improving margins alongside volume growth. - Growth fueled by Indian Railway's infrastructure expansion and new clients like Storm, ABB, and Siemens.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company targets gross sales of Rs. 250 crores in FY25, up from around Rs. 150 crores in FY24, implying significant revenue growth. - EBITDA margin improved to 15.34% in FY24, with management confident to maintain or improve margins in upcoming years. - Profit after tax in FY24 grew by 79.42% to Rs. 12.99 crores, showcasing strong earnings growth momentum. - New 6-tonne hammer installation expected to contribute Rs. 10-15 crores in FY25 and Rs. 50-60 crores in revenues from FY26 onwards, enhancing operating earnings. - Management plans continuous capacity expansion post FY26 aiming for Rs. 500 crores gross sales by FY27, supported by incremental CAPEX of Rs. 10-20 crores to remove bottlenecks. - EPS is expected to improve with volume growth and stable or expanding margins driven by product mix and new product introductions like air springs. - No immediate dilution planned; liquidity enhancement only if a major growth project arises.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- As of the start of FY25, Frontier Springs has a strong order book valued at approximately Rs. 150 crore. - Orders are continuously flowing due to ongoing tendering by Indian Railways, with around 4-5 new tenders daily for coil springs, forgings, and air springs. - The company has an order book of about Rs. 850 crore in hand encompassing coil springs, forgings, and air springs. - Execution timeline for orders is generally about 45-60 days. - The order inflow remains robust, with around Rs. 60-70 crore in orders typically maintained, but currently elevated to Rs. 150 crore, enabling steady revenue ramp-up. - New orders continuously replenish the order book, ensuring sustained order pipeline and revenue generation. - Air spring orders have grown, with approximately Rs. 18 crore in revenue last year and Rs. 7 crore in the last quarter of FY24.