GE Vernova T&D India LtdQ4 FY25

GE Vernova T&D India Ltd Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 4,352P/E: 83.6Market Cap: ₹1.1L CrSector: Electrical Equipment

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Significant growth in revenue expected due to strong order inflows and backlog (INR107 billion backlog represents ~2.5 years of revenue).
  • Quarterly revenue execution currently averages INR1,050-1,100 crores, with a projected quarter-on-quarter growth driven by increasing order backlog.
  • Export order inflows have jumped to INR3,000 crores in 9 months from INR1,800 crores last year; exports expected to contribute ~30% of new order inflows.
  • Management aims to maintain or grow export order inflow run rate of around INR1,700 crores per quarter.
  • Revenue growth supported by strong domestic demand and large export orders.
  • Capacity expansion underway with brownfield expansion and potential greenfield projects planned to meet demand.
  • EBITDA margin guidance remains mid to high teens, indicating profitable growth.
  • Supply chain constraints acknowledged but not expected to significantly hamper growth in next 12-18 months.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company aims to sustain or grow revenue run rates, backed by a strong order book of INR107 billion (~2-2.5 years of revenue) and robust export inflows (INR3,000 crores in 9 months).
  • Management targets maintaining EBITDA margins in the mid-to-high teens (currently at 18% on a 9-month basis), emphasizing operational efficiencies and better operating leverage.
  • Gross margins improved to 39.8% for 9 months, with efforts to sustain this level despite market mix and project variances.
  • Capacity expansions are planned via brownfield at existing facilities, with decisions for greenfield expansions pending based on demand—capex guidance is around INR800 million for FY25 and FY26.
  • Export revenues are expected to grow steadily, targeting around 30% of order inflows, which should positively impact profitability.
  • Overall, management confident in maintaining double-digit revenue CAGR and sustaining profit growth supported by a healthy order book and operational discipline.

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Fundraise plans

  • The company has not disclosed any specific new fundraising plans through debt or equity as of now.
  • The Board is evaluating various options regarding cash deployment.
  • Currently, the company continues to invest surplus cash in cash pools and fixed income securities.
  • There is no immediate plan announced for raising funds via debt or equity.
  • The company is focused on utilizing cash generated internally and only plans capex based on market needs.
  • Cash balance as of the quarter is around INR860 crores with additional quarterly generation of approximately INR200 crores.

Order book

Yes
  • Current order book: Approximately INR10,780 crores (as mentioned on Page 13).
  • Expected completion timeline for current order book: 2 to 2.5 years, with some orders having execution timelines up to 3 to 5 years (Page 13).
  • Large export orders account for INR30 billion to INR35 billion, with a 5-year execution timeline (Page 14).
  • Order inflow run rate: Averaging around INR1,700 crores per quarter, with an endeavor to maintain or grow this level (Page 13).
  • Order book growth: Significant ramp-up with 75% growth year-on-year, expected to support increasing revenues (Page 5).
  • Export orders constitute roughly 30% of inflows, aimed to be maintained (Page 19).
  • Backlog refers to INR107 billion (INR10,700 crores), equating to around 2.5 years of revenue (Page 6).

Capex plans

Yes
  • Planned capex of approximately INR80 crores ($8 million to $10 million) for FY '25 and FY '26, primarily for capacity debottlenecking and expansion (Pages 7, 16).
  • Brownfield expansion possibilities exist with available space in factories, particularly at Vadodara, but greenfield expansions will be considered based on long-term demand and capacity needs (Page 7).
  • Capex is focused on removing bottlenecks to increase capacity with minimal investment, not waiting passively (Page 17).
  • Investments are aligned with market demand and order book growth; capacity utilization has not yet reached thresholds requiring large new capex, but monitoring is ongoing (Pages 16-17).
  • Continued operational efficiencies and lean principles guide capital deployment, with no specifics on strategic acquisitions or other investments disclosed (Page 17).

How does GE Vernova T&D India Ltd rank vs peers in Electrical Equipment?

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1GE Vernova T&D India Ltd
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