GFL LtdQ2 FY19

GFL Ltd Q2 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹55.2P/E: 10.4Market Cap: ₹629 CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • PTFE sales volumes expected to grow from ~1,300 tons/month in 2018 to ~1,750 tons/month by 2020, achieving full expanded capacity.
  • Value-added PTFE share projected to increase to about 55%, with granular PTFE at 45%.
  • Fluoropolymers production anticipated to ramp up from ~100 tons/month to 800-900 tons/month by March 2020.
  • New fluoropolymers and specialty FluoroSpecialty chemicals expected to reach ~50% capacity utilization in the first year, with gradual ramp-up over five quarters.
  • Incremental revenues: Rs. 600 crores from Fluoropolymers and Rs. 300-400 crores from FluoroSpecialty chemicals by March 2020.
  • Continued pricing improvement in granular PTFE, especially in US and European markets due to reduced competition with Chinese products.
  • Overall chemicals business volumes and revenues expected to increase significantly driven by these product expansions and capacity utilization improvements.

See what GFL Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • Discussed preferential issue in Inox Leisure; the loan to Inox Leisure (~Rs 160 crores) is expected to be converted into equity.
  • For Inox Renewable loan (~Rs 200 crores), expected repayment within next 6 months.
  • CAPEX guidance:
  • - Rs 150 crores spent in H1 FY19 for Chemical business projects.
  • - Remaining Rs 50-75 crores planned to complete current projects.
  • - FY20 CAPEX blueprint ready but final plan to be shared next quarter.
  • Demerger plan to list Chemical business separately may enable investor flexibility but no direct fundraising linked to this mentioned.

See what GFL Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Completed capex in Chemical business with a focus on ramping up new revenue streams such as fluoropolymers, specialty chemicals, and PTFE capacity expansion.
  • Currently manufacturing only about 100 tonnes/month of new fluoropolymers, targeting 800-900 tonnes/month by March 2020.
  • Total capex spent in H1 FY19 was around Rs.150 crores; remaining capex for current projects estimated at Rs.50-75 crores.
  • Blueprint for FY20 capex is ready but not finalized; more clarity expected next quarter.
  • Planned future expansion of PTFE capacity beyond 21,000 tonnes possible at a new Dahej site, 7-8 km from existing plant, with blueprints to be clarified in the first quarter of next year.
  • Wind turbine business planning to add about 40 to 50 MW capacity with a potential capex of Rs.250-300 crores.
  • Possibility of value unlocking through corporate restructuring including demerger enabling focused growth strategies.

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