
GFL Ltd Q2 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 2
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 2- PTFE sales volumes expected to grow from ~1,300 tons/month in 2018 to ~1,750 tons/month by 2020, achieving full expanded capacity.
- Value-added PTFE share projected to increase to about 55%, with granular PTFE at 45%.
- Fluoropolymers production anticipated to ramp up from ~100 tons/month to 800-900 tons/month by March 2020.
- New fluoropolymers and specialty FluoroSpecialty chemicals expected to reach ~50% capacity utilization in the first year, with gradual ramp-up over five quarters.
- Incremental revenues: Rs. 600 crores from Fluoropolymers and Rs. 300-400 crores from FluoroSpecialty chemicals by March 2020.
- Continued pricing improvement in granular PTFE, especially in US and European markets due to reduced competition with Chinese products.
- Overall chemicals business volumes and revenues expected to increase significantly driven by these product expansions and capacity utilization improvements.
See what GFL Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
- No explicit mention of current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
- Discussed preferential issue in Inox Leisure; the loan to Inox Leisure (~Rs 160 crores) is expected to be converted into equity.
- For Inox Renewable loan (~Rs 200 crores), expected repayment within next 6 months.
- CAPEX guidance:
- - Rs 150 crores spent in H1 FY19 for Chemical business projects.
- - Remaining Rs 50-75 crores planned to complete current projects.
- - FY20 CAPEX blueprint ready but final plan to be shared next quarter.
- Demerger plan to list Chemical business separately may enable investor flexibility but no direct fundraising linked to this mentioned.
See what GFL Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- Completed capex in Chemical business with a focus on ramping up new revenue streams such as fluoropolymers, specialty chemicals, and PTFE capacity expansion.
- Currently manufacturing only about 100 tonnes/month of new fluoropolymers, targeting 800-900 tonnes/month by March 2020.
- Total capex spent in H1 FY19 was around Rs.150 crores; remaining capex for current projects estimated at Rs.50-75 crores.
- Blueprint for FY20 capex is ready but not finalized; more clarity expected next quarter.
- Planned future expansion of PTFE capacity beyond 21,000 tonnes possible at a new Dahej site, 7-8 km from existing plant, with blueprints to be clarified in the first quarter of next year.
- Wind turbine business planning to add about 40 to 50 MW capacity with a potential capex of Rs.250-300 crores.
- Possibility of value unlocking through corporate restructuring including demerger enabling focused growth strategies.
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