
H.G. Infra Engineering LtdQ4 FY24
H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd Q4 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹526P/E: 13.4Market Cap: ₹3.5K Cr
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
No
Capex
Yes
1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →For FY '24, H.G. Infra expects around 17-20% revenue growth, targeting roughly INR6,000 crores.
- →The company anticipates closing FY '24 with revenue between INR5,000 to 5,200 crores.
- →Guidance for FY '25 is maintained at about INR6,000 crores in revenue.
- →For FY '25 and beyond, the company expects order inflows of approximately INR10,000 crores.
- →Railway projects, including orders bidded worth INR14,000 crores with expected awards around INR10,000 crores, will contribute significantly to revenue.
- →Government infrastructure initiatives such as Vision 2047 and increased capex for highways and railways support growth prospects.
- →The company foresees continued healthy execution and operational efficiency to drive future sales expansions.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →PAT at standalone level expected to be around 9.5% to 10%, potentially rising to 11% in coming quarters.
- →EBITDA margins to remain stable around 15.5% to 16% with consistent revenue growth of 17-20% Y-o-Y.
- →Finance cost expected to remain stable around INR60-65 crores per quarter; depreciation to normalize as capex declines.
- →Capex to be relatively low going forward, around INR75 crores annually post FY'24.
- →Order inflow expected to be around INR6,000 crores in FY'24, increasing to INR10,000 crores in FY'25 due to aggressive bidding and new projects.
- →Railways projects contributing to diversification; margins for railways EPC projects are targeted similar to highways (~13%).
- →Digital transformation initiatives expected to improve operational efficiency and enhance financial performance.
- →Overall, focused on boosting both EBITDA and PAT margins through enhanced execution and operational efficiency.
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Fundraise plans
- →No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the near term.
- →Current gross standalone debt is INR470 crores (including working capital and NCD).
- →For HAM projects, total equity requirement until FY '26 is INR1,331 crores; INR604 crores already infused and INR74 crores projected to be infused in FY '24.
- →Company prefers to manage funds through internal arrangements, e.g., receiving payments via SPVs to reduce SPV debt and minimize interest cost.
- →Focus on optimizing cash usage through advanced procurement and avoiding overdraft utilization.
- →Capex guidance is moderate (around INR75 crores for upcoming years), indicating controlled capital needs.
- →No indication of aggressive new debt or equity issuances planned immediately.
Order book
No- →As of December 2023, H.G. Infra's order book stood at INR 9,626 crores across 11 states.
- →Order book composition: 51% EPC, 37% HAM, and 12% railway/metro projects.
- →16 bids worth around INR 14,000 crores are pending results.
- →Total upcoming bidding opportunities: INR 60,000-70,000 crores in MSRDC, INR 50,000+ crores at NHAI, and INR 40,000 crores in Ministry projects.
- →Around INR 25,000 crores of railway projects expected to be awarded soon.
- →The company has bid for 52 tenders worth INR 30,572 crores till January 2024.
- →Expecting order additions of around INR 6,000 crores in the current financial year.
- →Anticipates adding another INR 5,000 crores in remaining months of FY24, total INR 6,000 crores for the year.
- →For FY25, order addition target is about INR 10,000 crores.
- →Railway projects in pipeline for bidding worth approximately INR 6,000 crores.
Capex plans
Yes- →FY'24 capex already done, exceeding INR100 crores; no significant addition planned this year.
- →For FY'25, targeted capex is minimal, around INR75 crores.
- →INR196 crores balance equity planned from FY'25 to FY'27, partly linked to Japan projects.
- →Additional equity investment of approximately INR74 crores expected in Q4 FY'24.
- →Total equity investment target around INR1,331 crores with INR601 crores completed by Dec 31, balance INR730 crores pending.
- →Strategic move into solar projects in Rajasthan with small-scale projects under Kusum Yojana, aiming for contract execution with government power purchase agreements.
- →Exploring diversification into railway and metro tunnel projects but not aggressively pursuing large projects yet.
- →Digital transformation and automation initiatives are ongoing to enhance operational efficiency and financial performance.
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