H.G. Infra Engineering LtdQ4 FY24

H.G. Infra Engineering Ltd Q4 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 526P/E: 13.4Market Cap: ₹3.5K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

No

Capex

Yes

1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • For FY '24, H.G. Infra expects around 17-20% revenue growth, targeting roughly INR6,000 crores.
  • The company anticipates closing FY '24 with revenue between INR5,000 to 5,200 crores.
  • Guidance for FY '25 is maintained at about INR6,000 crores in revenue.
  • For FY '25 and beyond, the company expects order inflows of approximately INR10,000 crores.
  • Railway projects, including orders bidded worth INR14,000 crores with expected awards around INR10,000 crores, will contribute significantly to revenue.
  • Government infrastructure initiatives such as Vision 2047 and increased capex for highways and railways support growth prospects.
  • The company foresees continued healthy execution and operational efficiency to drive future sales expansions.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • PAT at standalone level expected to be around 9.5% to 10%, potentially rising to 11% in coming quarters.
  • EBITDA margins to remain stable around 15.5% to 16% with consistent revenue growth of 17-20% Y-o-Y.
  • Finance cost expected to remain stable around INR60-65 crores per quarter; depreciation to normalize as capex declines.
  • Capex to be relatively low going forward, around INR75 crores annually post FY'24.
  • Order inflow expected to be around INR6,000 crores in FY'24, increasing to INR10,000 crores in FY'25 due to aggressive bidding and new projects.
  • Railways projects contributing to diversification; margins for railways EPC projects are targeted similar to highways (~13%).
  • Digital transformation initiatives expected to improve operational efficiency and enhance financial performance.
  • Overall, focused on boosting both EBITDA and PAT margins through enhanced execution and operational efficiency.

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Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the near term.
  • Current gross standalone debt is INR470 crores (including working capital and NCD).
  • For HAM projects, total equity requirement until FY '26 is INR1,331 crores; INR604 crores already infused and INR74 crores projected to be infused in FY '24.
  • Company prefers to manage funds through internal arrangements, e.g., receiving payments via SPVs to reduce SPV debt and minimize interest cost.
  • Focus on optimizing cash usage through advanced procurement and avoiding overdraft utilization.
  • Capex guidance is moderate (around INR75 crores for upcoming years), indicating controlled capital needs.
  • No indication of aggressive new debt or equity issuances planned immediately.

Order book

No
  • As of December 2023, H.G. Infra's order book stood at INR 9,626 crores across 11 states.
  • Order book composition: 51% EPC, 37% HAM, and 12% railway/metro projects.
  • 16 bids worth around INR 14,000 crores are pending results.
  • Total upcoming bidding opportunities: INR 60,000-70,000 crores in MSRDC, INR 50,000+ crores at NHAI, and INR 40,000 crores in Ministry projects.
  • Around INR 25,000 crores of railway projects expected to be awarded soon.
  • The company has bid for 52 tenders worth INR 30,572 crores till January 2024.
  • Expecting order additions of around INR 6,000 crores in the current financial year.
  • Anticipates adding another INR 5,000 crores in remaining months of FY24, total INR 6,000 crores for the year.
  • For FY25, order addition target is about INR 10,000 crores.
  • Railway projects in pipeline for bidding worth approximately INR 6,000 crores.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FY'24 capex already done, exceeding INR100 crores; no significant addition planned this year.
  • For FY'25, targeted capex is minimal, around INR75 crores.
  • INR196 crores balance equity planned from FY'25 to FY'27, partly linked to Japan projects.
  • Additional equity investment of approximately INR74 crores expected in Q4 FY'24.
  • Total equity investment target around INR1,331 crores with INR601 crores completed by Dec 31, balance INR730 crores pending.
  • Strategic move into solar projects in Rajasthan with small-scale projects under Kusum Yojana, aiming for contract execution with government power purchase agreements.
  • Exploring diversification into railway and metro tunnel projects but not aggressively pursuing large projects yet.
  • Digital transformation and automation initiatives are ongoing to enhance operational efficiency and financial performance.

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