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Home First Finance Company India LtdQ4 FY25

Home First Finance Company India Ltd Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 1,154P/E: 20.8Market Cap: ₹11.2K CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Home First Finance aims to grow its loan book from approximately Rs. 10,000 crores to Rs. 20,000 crores over the next 3 years.
  • Targeting a 30% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in Assets Under Management (AUM).
  • Quarterly disbursements expected to sustain around Rs. 1,000 crores with anticipated 20%-25% disbursal growth to support AUM growth.
  • Expansion plan includes increasing branch network from 123 to about 200 branches and growing touchpoints from 300 to 500 in the next 3 years.
  • Co-lending is set to increase from 6% to 10% of total disbursements, contributing to higher volume growth.
  • Market share goals include raising penetration in states like Maharashtra from 1%-1.5% to 3%, and increasing market share beyond 5% in states like Gujarat.
  • Focus on reaching full addressable market of Rs. 40,000 crores in existing states by scaling distribution and product reach.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Home First Finance targets approximately 30% AUM growth over the next 2-3 years.
  • Disbursal growth is expected at around 20%-25% to support the AUM growth.
  • Operating costs are expected to stay around 3% to 3.2% of assets to support expansion.
  • Credit costs are low and well-managed, with a current ratio of 30 basis points.
  • Return on Equity (ROE) is projected in the range of 17%-18%, with potential to approach 20% as leverage rises to 5.5x-6x by FY26.
  • Net Interest Margin (NIM) is stable at around 5.7%, with spreads maintained within 5% to 5.25%.
  • Profitability metrics are expected to improve alongside growth, with a focus on sustainable, controlled expansion.
  • No equity raise is planned for the next 2-3 years, supporting existing growth plans through accruals and liquidity.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • No immediate equity raise planned for the next 2 to 3 years; current accruals are sufficient to fund growth during this period.
  • Future equity raise possible but not expected in the near term.
  • Maintaining liquidity with Rs. 1,200 crores on the balance sheet (excluding undrawn lines) to support operations.
  • Borrowing mix includes diversified sources such as banks, NHB refinance, direct assignment, co-lending, and IFC NCDs.
  • No commercial paper borrowing currently, reflecting a conservative borrowing approach.
  • Overall, no equity raise is on the cards in the short term, but it may be considered beyond the 2-3 year horizon as the company scales.

Order book

Yes
The provided transcript from Home First Finance Q3FY24 Concall does not explicitly detail current or expected orderbook/pending orders as it primarily covers financial performance, disbursements, borrowing mix, spreads, asset quality, and strategic views on growth, ticket sizes, and co-lending. However, relevant insights related to loan book growth and disbursements include: - The company targets 30% AUM growth for FY25 and FY26. - Disbursal growth is expected at 20%-25% to support AUM growth targets. - Quarterly disbursals have been consistently around Rs. 1,000 crores, with continuous quarter-on-quarter increase over the past 12 quarters. - Co-lending disbursements at about 6% currently expected to scale up to 10% of disbursals. - Focus on increasing ticket sizes and expanding core segments with inflation-driven growth. No specific pending orderbook numbers are mentioned in the documents.

Capex plans

Yes
- The company is focusing on scaling its branch network from 123 currently to about 200 branches in the next 3 years, targeting 500 touch points overall. - The branch expansion strategy involves adding about 25 branches per year to enhance distribution. - The plan is to increase penetration in existing states and expand presence in key central and northern states like Rajasthan, UP, and MP. - Co-lending business is expected to grow and contribute around 10% of disbursement in the near future, expanding addressable market reach. - No immediate equity raise anticipated within the next 2 years, but potential equity infusion in the future to support growth ambitions. - The company aims to grow the loan book to around Rs. 20,000 crores within 3 years while maintaining operating and profitability metrics. No explicit mention of other capex or strategic investments beyond branch and distribution expansion was noted.

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