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ICE Make Refrigeration LtdQ2 FY25

ICE Make Refrigeration Ltd Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 769P/E: 87.9Market Cap: ₹1.2K CrSector: Industrial Manufacturing

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Ice cream consumption per capita in India is improving, supporting demand growth.
  • Electricity availability improvements in villages are expanding ice cream outlet numbers, boosting demand.
  • E-commerce contribution is growing rapidly, expected to increase revenue from Rs. 22-23 crore in Q1 to Rs. 100-120 crore annually.
  • Food processing industries and QSR segments offer significant growth opportunities.
  • Organized industry growth due to government compliance and standards implementation.
  • Cold chain development has strong potential, addressing 30-35% wastage of perishable agro products.
  • Multiple segments like processing, logistics, dairy, dehydration, ammonia have good long-term opportunities.
  • Business is expected to stabilize with brand reputation, leading to large projects and good margins.
  • Despite early monsoon impact, the overall Indian market outlook for the next 10 years is positive.
  • Management targets Rs. 650 crore revenue for FY26 with expected EBITDA margins of ~8-9%.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects strong revenue growth, targeting Rs. 650 crore top line by FY’26.
  • EBITDA margins are expected to be around 8-9% for the full financial year, with improvement as new verticals scale.
  • New business verticals (continuous panels and commercial freezers) aim to break even this year and contribute positively to EBITDA, targeting approx. 10%+ margins in the longer term.
  • Despite short-term margin pressures from CAPEX, interest, and depreciation, management is confident of margin expansion and improved operating profit over time.
  • Historical revenue CAGR of ~30% and net profit CAGR of ~43.5% over the past five years provide a basis for optimistic growth.
  • Market growth drivers include expanding cold chain infrastructure, rising per capita consumption, e-commerce growth, and organized industry shift.
  • Management foresees sustained business growth over the next 10 years driven by diversified verticals like food processing, agriculture, e-commerce, and QSR sectors.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no explicit mention of any current or immediate future fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
  • Management discussed ongoing CAPEX plans, including a Rs. 150 crore phase 2 CAPEX, but did not mention raising funds via equity or debt.
  • The working capital limit is Rs. 80 crores, with some possibilities of enhancement for future needs, indicating reliance on internal cash flows and existing credit lines rather than fresh fundraising.
  • Discussions are ongoing regarding acquisitions, technology, or JV-related opportunities, which might imply potential capital needs, but no definitive fundraising plans were shared.
  • Overall, the focus appears on deploying profits and routine CAPEX rather than initiating new equity or debt fundraising at this time.

Order book

Yes
  • Current order book stands at Rs. 173.12 crores.
  • Order book breakdown:
  • - Cold room: Rs. 26.63 crores
  • - Industrial refrigeration: Rs. 3.27 crores
  • - Transport refrigeration: Rs. 2.21 crores
  • - Commercial refrigeration: Rs. 17.38 crores
  • - Ammonia vertical: Rs. 52 crores
  • - Continuous panel: Rs. 33.66 crores
  • - Chest freezers (new products): Rs. 1 crore
  • Export market pending orders: Rs. 9.65 lakh
  • Strong revenue visibility for upcoming quarters due to the substantial order book.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company has planned a Phase 2 CAPEX of Rs. 150 crore, with timing currently uncertain due to ongoing positive discussions around acquisitions, technology, and joint ventures. Updates will be shared when available.
  • Routine maintenance CAPEX excluding Phase 2 is about Rs. 7-8 crore annually for upgrades and semi-automation.
  • Current profits are being deployed into CAPEX projects.
  • Small capacity upgrades are planned in existing verticals to increase installed capacity from Rs. 550-600 crore potential to around Rs. 650 crore by adding value-added products with minor CAPEX.
  • New verticals like commercial freezers and continuous panels are driving investments with targets to break even and contribute positively to margins.
  • Working capital utilization may temporarily increase due to new products and inventory stocking.
  • The company is focusing on stabilizing research and CAPEX plans before further announcements.

How does ICE Make Refrigeration Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Manufacturing?

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1ICE Make Refrigeration Ltd
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