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ICE Make Refrigeration LtdQ4 FY26

ICE Make Refrigeration Ltd Q4 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 769P/E: 87.9Market Cap: ₹1.2K CrSector: Industrial Manufacturing

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Company targets achieving Rs. 500 crore topline in current financial year (FY25).
  • Aims to reach Rs. 1,000 crore topline by 2028.
  • Quick commerce segment expected to grow to Rs. 900-1,000 crore market potential in next 2-3 years; company expects Rs. 50 crore revenue with 15% market share.
  • New verticals like Continuous PUF panels and commercial freezers expected to become profitable by FY26.
  • Current capacity can generate Rs. 450-500 crore revenue; with new CAPEX total capacity supports Rs. 800 crore top-line.
  • Order book stands at Rs. 167 crore, with daily dispatch increasing (Rs. 2-3 crore daily).
  • E-commerce and quick commerce business showing strong demand and growth potential.
  • Expansion plans include new South plant with Rs. 10 crore CAPEX underway.
  • Exports to US expected after certification by end of current financial year, opening new market opportunities.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company aims to achieve a topline of Rs. 500 crore in the current financial year and Rs. 1,000 crore by 2028.
  • EBITDA margin guidance is maintained at 9.5% to 10.5% until reaching Rs. 1,000 crore topline.
  • The new verticals (Continuous PUF panels and commercial freezers) are expected to be profitable from FY26.
  • PAT is expected around Rs. 20 crore plus this year, but will be under pressure due to depreciation and interest; PAT margin expected to improve after FY26 as loan and depreciation impact eases.
  • Debt repayment is not a current priority; growth and CAPEX will be funded by cash flows and loans (current loans at ~8.1% interest).
  • Quick commerce vertical expected to generate Rs. 50 crore revenue with 15% market share over next 2-3 years.
  • Profit margins may improve further post optimum utilization of new and old capacities in 3-4 years, with potential to reach 11-12% EBITDA margin.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company has not finalized the mode of funding for new CAPEX (continuous PUF panel and commercial filters expansion).
  • They are currently reviewing cash flow generation and business performance before deciding on funding.
  • New CAPEX plans amount to about Rs. 150 crore plus, but the decision on funding sources (internal accruals, debt, or others) remains open.
  • Debt repayment is not an immediate priority due to the favorable interest rate (about 8.1%) on existing loans.
  • The company is focusing on growth and may redeploy profits rather than aggressively repaying debt.
  • No explicit mention of equity fundraising was made in the discussed Q3FY25 call excerpt.

Order book

Yes
  • Total pending order book is around Rs. 167 crore.
  • Cold room vertical pending order: Rs. 39 crore.
  • Commercial vertical pending order: Approximately Rs. 30 crore.
  • Industrial refrigeration pending order: Rs. 4.5 crore.
  • Transport refrigeration pending order: Rs. 5.25 crore.
  • Ammonia refrigeration pending order: Rs. 29.4 crore.
  • Commercial freezer pending order: Rs. 1.5 crore.
  • Continuous panel pending order: Rs. 9.5 crore.
  • Project business pending order: About Rs. 51 crore.
  • Orders are a mix of short-term (executed within month) and long-term (6-12 months delivery).
  • Monthly dispatch value ranges from Rs. 1.5 crore to Rs. 4 crore, averaging 2-3 crore daily.
  • Strong order pipeline in quick commerce with 15% market share expected to generate Rs. 50 crore revenue.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Company has already invested around Rs. 100 crore in CAPEX related to continuous PUF panel factory and commercial refrigeration.
  • A new CAPEX plan of about Rs. 150 crore plus is under consideration but not yet finalized.
  • Focus currently is to stabilize new product businesses (continuous PUF panels and commercial freezers).
  • Further CAPEX decisions will be reviewed post current financial year-end (April/May) based on cash flow and business performance.
  • South plant expansion is underway with ongoing construction; expected ready for shifting by end of Q1 next financial year.
  • Planned additional CAPEX for south plant estimated around Rs. 10 crore (land, building, machinery) and is in progress.
  • For large projects or tenders, CAPEX and terms differ depending on the nature of the business.
  • The company intends to invest in automation to reduce costs and complement EBITDA margins going forward.

How does ICE Make Refrigeration Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Manufacturing?

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