Krishna Defence & Allied Industries Ltd
Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Aerospace & Defense
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 1margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company has recently done a fundraising round aiming to raise close to ₹15-20 crores for CapEx and ₹35-40 crores for working capital.
- No specific mention of plans for immediate new fundraising through debt or equity beyond this.
- Fund usage from the recent fundraising is aligned to support anticipated order flows and capacity expansion.
- No declared plans for shutting down the dairy business, implying ongoing interest in operational funding.
- The management did not disclose any explicit future fundraising intentions during the call.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The company is undertaking a brownfield expansion adjacent to its existing facility in Halol, Gujarat.
- Planned CapEx of approximately ₹15-20 crore is allocated for this expansion.
- The new facility will manufacture weld consumables and bulb bars, increasing capacity from about 2,000-2,500 tons annually to around 4,000 tons.
- Civil infrastructure work and equipment orders are underway, with the facility expected to be operational by September-October 2024.
- Total CapEx block is around ₹14 crore, with over ₹11 crore deployed specifically in the defence business.
- The company raised ₹50-60 crore recently; around ₹15-20 crore intended for CapEx and ₹35-40 crore for working capital.
- Expansion aims to double capacity and increase revenue potential from ₹180-200 crore to about ₹350-400 crore from the existing facility.
- The company focuses on R&D and development of new defence products, targeting a diversified product portfolio.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company targets a growth of approximately 40% CAGR in sales/revenue over the next three years.
- Demand is expected to increase from the shipbuilding side for existing products.
- Existing capacity expansion plans aim to increase production capabilities, supporting revenue growth from around ₹180-200 crores to ₹350-400 crores.
- New products under development, including composite doors and electronic warfare communication systems, are expected to contribute to future revenues.
- The company aims to diversify its product portfolio with 7-8 products, each targeting ₹50-100 crores in revenue, reducing dependency on a single product.
- Export opportunities and tie-ups with foreign partners are being explored but specifics are currently confidential.
- Overall, management remains optimistic about scaling revenues with increasing market share and product pipeline expansion.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company targets approximately 40% CAGR growth over the next three years.
- Revenue is expected to grow significantly, driven by expanding shipbuilding orders and product ramp-up.
- EBITDA margins are anticipated to improve, aiming to reach around 20% in the next 1-2 years, though actual margins may settle between current (~15%) and aspirational levels.
- Operating leverage is expected to kick in with increased production, enhancing profitability.
- PAT margins increased to 10.06% in H2 FY24 and are likely to improve alongside revenue growth.
- The company plans capacity expansion (doubling manufacturing capacity) to support growth.
- Unit economics for products like bulb bars will improve with scale, supporting higher margins.
- Overall, earnings, operating profits, and EPS are projected to grow strongly aligned with 40% revenue CAGR and improving margins.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current order book is above ₹230 crores as of early FY25 (Page 6, 8).
- Recent large order of ₹88 crores received on April 3, 2024, to be executed over ~8 months, spilling into Q3 FY25 (Page 11-12).
- Additional orders are in process, under evaluation or tendering stage, expected to close within the financial year (Page 13).
- Order pipeline expected to support 40% CAGR growth for the next three years (Page 20).
- Orders typically have a gestation period ranging from 6 to 24 months depending on complexity (Page 11).
- Total block capital employed around ₹14 crores; ₹11 crores deployed in defense business indicating ongoing capacity utilization for pending orders (Page 26).
