Krsnaa Diagnostics LtdQ2 FY24

Krsnaa Diagnostics Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 575P/E: 17.7Market Cap: ₹1.8K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • The company targets a revenue growth of 30-35% year-on-year for the next two years excluding Rajasthan.
  • With Rajasthan tender included, the growth rate will be significantly higher.
  • Rajasthan is expected to contribute close to INR 300 crores in revenue in FY25.
  • Total revenue including Rajasthan for FY25 is projected to approach INR 1100 crores.
  • New project deployments in Assam, Odisha, BMC, and Maharashtra are expected to drive growth.
  • Ramp-up in existing projects like Punjab and Himachal Pradesh continues to contribute to increasing revenues.
  • Expansion in pathology service contribution is expected to improve overall revenue mix over time.
  • There is headroom for increased tele-reporting and utilization of installed equipment capacity, indicating further volume growth potential.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Krsnaa Diagnostics expects top-line growth of 30-35% year-on-year for FY24 and FY25 excluding Rajasthan.
  • With the addition of Rajasthan in FY25, overall growth is expected to be significantly higher, targeting revenue around INR 1100 crores by FY25.
  • EBITDA margins are expected to stabilize around 25-30% annually, with aspirations to reach approximately 28-30% as projects mature.
  • Operating cash flows for FY24 are expected to be similar to FY23, given investments in working capital and ongoing CAPEX.
  • CAPEX is planned at INR 120-130 crores each for FY24 and FY25, mainly funded through internal accruals and vendor financing.
  • Revenue ramp-up is anticipated from ongoing and pipeline projects like Rajasthan, Punjab, Assam, Odisha, and BMC contracts.
  • Overall, the company aims for strong growth in earnings aligned with expanding government tender projects and operational scale-up.

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Fundraise plans

No
  • Currently, Krsnaa Diagnostics does not expect to raise any new debt for planned CAPEX.
  • CAPEX is primarily funded through internal accruals and some vendor financing (deferred payment or leasing of equipment).
  • Debt raising is considered only if a new tender warrants it.
  • There is no mention of imminent equity fundraising.
  • Cash on the balance sheet (~220 crores) will be utilized for working capital.
  • Future fundraising decisions will depend on new tender opportunities and project requirements.

Order book

Yes
  • Krsnaa Diagnostics has several ongoing and pipeline projects, including large state-level tenders in Assam, Odisha, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, BMC (Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation), and Maharashtra.
  • Rajasthan tender is a significant pending order, expected to contribute around ₹300 crore in revenue from FY25 onwards; pending execution of agreement due to government formalities.
  • The company expects 30-35% year-on-year revenue growth for FY24 and FY25 excluding Rajasthan; including Rajasthan, growth will be higher.
  • Projects like Assam and Odisha are yet to be fully operationalized but anticipated to ramp up.
  • They continue to seek and participate in new tenders, maintaining an edge due to experience and insights.
  • CAPEX for FY24-25 is projected around ₹120-130 crore annually, largely directed towards Rajasthan and other new projects.
  • Internal accruals and vendor financing mainly fund CAPEX; no major debt expected unless new tenders arise.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Total CAPEX guidance for FY24 and FY25 is approximately ₹120-130 crore each year, totaling around ₹240-260 crore over two years.
  • Rajasthan tender alone has a projected CAPEX of close to ₹200 crore, with major spending planned in H2 FY24 and Q1 FY25.
  • CAPEX for other projects like Odisha, Assam, and Punjab is relatively lower, estimated around ₹40-60 crore.
  • The company primarily plans to fund CAPEX through internal accruals and vendor financing (deferred payment or lease of equipment).
  • No major debt raises planned for CAPEX unless new tenders require it.
  • Strategic investments focus on deploying equipment and setting up infrastructure in new government PPP projects, including Rajasthan, Assam, Odisha, Maharashtra, and BMC contracts.
  • CAPEX is mainly for setting up collection centers, pathology labs, and radiology equipment as per government tender requirements.

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