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Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India LtdQ3 FY23

Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 240P/E: 63.3Market Cap: ₹4.7K CrSector: Leisure Services

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Focus on accelerating member additions aligned with rapidly growing room inventory.
  • Expand room inventory from 5,000 to 10,000 rooms, supported by ongoing projects and capex of 835 Crores for 690 keys.
  • Target primarily India for expansion, focusing on Greenfield resorts, expansion of existing resorts, long-term leases, PPP projects, and acquisitions.
  • Leverage various channels like digital sales (including 55% digital referral plus digital member additions), corporate channels, and tier 2 and tier 3 cities.
  • Employ a product portfolio strategy including shorter tenure products to attract new customers and generate higher per room night profitability.
  • Increase focus on upgrades and referrals to enhance membership value and lifetime revenue.
  • Aim to generate sufficient cash flows and multiple annuity revenue streams to fund expansion and grow profits.
  • Expect sustained operational improvements and room addition run rates higher than previous years.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Mahindra Holidays plans aggressive expansion, doubling room count from 5,000 to 10,000 by FY 2030.
  • Capex of ₹835 Crores already underway for 690 rooms across Greenfield, Brownfield, and acquisition projects.
  • Expansion includes new resorts (e.g., Theog, Ganpatipule) and enlargements of existing resorts.
  • Use of mixed asset models: owned, long-term leases (including PPP), and acquisitions to optimize cost per key.
  • Strong cash generation reduces need for borrowing to fund growth.
  • EBITDA margin improvements seen are operational and sustainable, excluding forex one-offs.
  • Focus on growing membership, increasing upgrades and reducing cost of acquisition.
  • Positive outlook on earnings driven by increasing inventory, member additions, annuity revenue streams, and cost efficiencies.
  • EBITDA margin at 22.1% (Q2) and profit growth expected as network expands and utilization improves.

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Fundraise plans

No
  • Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Limited does not foresee the need to borrow money to fund its planned growth.
  • The company generates sufficient cash from its business to fund capex and expansion without external debt.
  • Capex needs will be met internally, optimizing a mix of owned assets, long-term leases, PPP models, and acquisitions.
  • No mention of any current or future plans for equity fundraising is noted in the provided transcript.
  • The focus is on cash generation from operations and internal accruals to support the addition of 5000 new rooms and expansion plans.

Order book

Yes
  • As of the report, Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Limited has a strong order book with significant ongoing projects.
  • They have deployed capex of ₹835 Crores across five projects, adding 690 keys (rooms).
  • The company aims to accelerate room addition from 5,000 to 10,000 keys, reflecting a robust and aggressive plan for inventory expansion.
  • Conversations are ongoing for acquisitions and partnerships, including PPP models and long-term leases, to optimize inventory and strategic locations.
  • Some projects may experience delays due to approvals or on-ground issues, but the company remains confident in exceeding previous run rates of room additions.
  • Overall, the order book reflects a firm commitment to aggressive expansion backed by cash generation and ongoing funding from their growing member base.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Ongoing capex of ₹835 Crores for 690 rooms across five Greenfield, Brownfield, and acquisition projects.
  • New Greenfield resort projects: 152 keys at Theog and 236 keys at Ganpatipule.
  • Expansion of existing resorts: Kandaghat (185 keys added), Sonora Goa (44 keys), Puducherry (62 keys), and Tree House Jaipur (54 keys).
  • Public-private partnership (PPP) model is a major focus for inventory expansion; discussions ongoing with multiple state governments including Maharashtra, Odisha, and Uttarakhand for new resorts.
  • Plans to move from 5000 to 10000 rooms largely through a mix of Greenfield builds, expansion, leases, and acquisitions.
  • Capex for Greenfield projects ~₹1.1 Crores per key; refurbishment/PPP models generally lower.
  • No immediate need for external borrowing; growth will be funded through cash generation.
  • Strategic investment in sustainability including solar power capacity increase to 11.7 MW in FY24 and carbon neutrality goal by 2040.

How does Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Ltd rank vs peers in Leisure Services?

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1Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Ltd
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