Mahindra Logistics Ltd
Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Transport Services
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
The document does not mention any current or planned fundraising activities through debt or equity. Key points related to financing include:
- References to cost management, productivity improvement, and optimization efforts.
- Commentary on tax rates and provisions, but no mention of new capital raising.
- Focus on operational growth and profitability, particularly in mobility and logistics segments.
- Discussions around volumes, margins, and synergies without reference to new financing rounds.
- No direct disclosures about plans for debt issuance, equity issuance, or fundraising initiatives.
Thus, based on available information up to July 2023, no explicit details about current or forthcoming debt or equity fundraising were provided.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Expansion of warehousing capacity is ongoing with several projects on track:
- 1 lakh sq. ft. expansion in Nasik scheduled for Q3 of the current fiscal year
- Two large facilities coming up in Guwahati, including the largest facility in Assam and the Northeast
- New multi-client facilities under development in Calcutta and Lucknow
- A large 1 million sq. ft. facility in Chakan, with half expected to be completed by the end of this fiscal year
- Focus on reconfiguring and optimizing existing facilities and contracts to improve yields and margins
- Investment in electric vehicle (EV) fleet expansion, particularly for airport operations, to support strong growth in mobility and airport services businesses
- Continued investment in technology integration and productivity improvement across supply chain and contract logistics businesses to drive cost optimization and scale
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- 3PL business expected to grow at mid-teens CAGR over next 2-3 years, targeting INR6,500 crore scale with optimization benefits.
- Full-year revenue growth expected to be slightly slower in FY '24 due to market headwinds but anticipated to bounce back post this year.
- Mobility business projected to become fully profitable on a consolidated basis in FY '24, aided by account acquisitions from other market exits.
- B2B Express business volumes are down ~25%-30%; breakeven requires ~10% volume recovery from ~4 lakh tons baseline.
- Airport business and enterprise transportation within mobility growing strongly, with platform revenue growth expected around 15%-17%.
- Contract logistics order intake showed improvement with key wins, supporting volume growth despite e-commerce softness.
- Warehousing managed space expanding (~19 million sq. ft), with new facilities on track for FY '24 contributing to revenue.
- Volume growth to be driven by new account additions and return-to-office trends, especially post H1 FY '24, accelerating in festive season.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The mobility business is expected to turn profitable again on a fully consolidated basis this year, reversing prior losses.
- The B2B Express segment, currently down 25%-30% in volume, needs around 10% volume growth over prior levels to breakeven on EBITDA; breakeven expected in early H2 FY '24.
- The 3PL business targets mid-teen percentage annual revenue growth, aiming to scale operations to around INR6,500 crore.
- Contract logistics growth is expected around mid-teens CAGR given new client additions and expansions in existing accounts.
- The overall company aims for an 18% ROE by FY '26, reflecting confidence in profitability improvements and growth momentum.
- Despite near-term challenges like e-commerce softness and macro headwinds, volumes in automotive, FMCG, and discrete manufacturing sectors remain robust, supporting earnings growth.
- Margins in warehousing and delivery businesses are improving due to cost optimization and operational efficiencies.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- In Q4, Mahindra Logistics had an order intake of approximately INR 100 crores in the 3PL contract logistics business.
- In Q1, the order intake improved to around INR 130-140 crores annualized contract value in 3PL contract logistics.
- The annualized target for order intake growth is INR 400-500 crores, aligned with the company's long-term revenue and earnings aspirations.
- New orders won include significant integrated warehousing and distribution accounts, including a large telecom company's 5G program and a leading personal care products company.
- Order intake leads to revenue recognition over a 3-6 month deployment/construction window.
- Despite closures of some warehouse sites, new business acquisition has helped offset volume drops.
- Overall, the orderbook trajectory is positive with improved demand and growth expected through the rest of the year.
