Marathon Nextgen Realty Ltd
Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Realty
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: No
π°fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company has substantially reduced its debt by more than Rs. 200 crores in FY '25, resulting in a healthy net debt to equity ratio of 0.46.
- The average cost of debt has reduced during the financial year, and the overall debt has decreased.
- The management states they keep refinancing whenever cost reduction opportunities arise and will continue to look for such opportunities.
- There is no explicit mention of any current or immediate future fundraising through debt or equity.
- The company emphasizes maintaining a sustainable capital structure and prudent debt management.
- Any updates on fundraising will likely be communicated in due course as part of ongoing business strategy.
ποΈcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited has significant incoming land parcels awaiting approval:
- 205 acres in Panvel
- 130 acres in Bhandup
- 83 acres in Dombivli
- Additional projects in Lower Parel
- These lands and projects are part of a composite scheme of amalgamation subject to regulatory approvals, including NCLT sanction.
- The company has ongoing major projects in Byculla (Monte South), Panvel (Nexzone), Bhandup, and commercial assets like Marathon Futurex in Lower Parel.
- Once approvals are received, detailed development plans and capital deployment will be shared in presentations.
- Current focus remains on progressing construction rapidly and completing existing projects with quality and timely delivery.
- The merger will consolidate promoter assets and projects under the listed entity, simplifying group structure and enabling efficient capital utilization for value unlocking.
πrevenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- No specific future-looking sales or revenue guidance for FY '26 was provided during the call.
- The management refrained from commenting on pre-sales outlook for FY '26 as it is a future-looking statement.
- They emphasized evaluating real estate companies based on a 3-year moving average turnover due to quarter-to-quarter fluctuations.
- The affordable segment sales tend to pick up towards the latter stages of project completion.
- Growth in realization (sales price) has been consistent, with a 5% to 10% increase year-on-year at various projects.
- The company is focused on strong micro markets and continues to see sustained demand and growth in those markets.
- Anticipation that declining interest rates will further boost real estate demand.
- The merger and acquisition of additional land parcels (Panvel, Bhandup, Dombivli) could unlock future value after regulatory approvals.
πmargin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- FY '25 saw a record PAT of Rs. 190 crore, with a 13% YoY growth and a compounded PAT growth rate of 48% over four years, showing strong earnings momentum.
- Realization in projects has grown year-on-year by 5-10%, indicating sustainable pricing power.
- Construction progress and timely delivery are expected to enhance future sales recognition.
- Management advises evaluating performance on a three-year moving average turnover basis, reflecting the cyclical nature of real estate sales.
- Demand remains strong in targeted micro markets due to population growth, aspirational housing needs, and inward migration.
- Interest rate trends, particularly rate reductions by 0.25 to 0.5 bps, are expected to further boost demand and market growth.
- Debt reduction and cost of debt improvements support healthier profitability and cash flows.
- Merger-related enhancements are expected to unlock additional value post-approval, potentially benefiting earnings long-term.
πorderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The companyβs existing portfolio includes strong ongoing projects with significant work carved out at Monte South (Byculla), Futurex (Lower Parel), and Bhandup.
- At Bhandup, around 20 acres (combining 14 acres and 5.8 acres clusters) are under development with multiple buildings ongoing.
- Projects in Panvel cover approximately 25 acres with 19 buildings and 4 more proposed.
- The company has incoming land parcels totaling approximately 418 acres: 205 acres in Panvel, 130 acres in Bhandup, and 83 acres in Dombivli, subject to regulatory and statutory approvals.
- Detailed area and developable analysis for incoming land will be shared in an upcoming presentation.
- Sales tend to accelerate towards project completion; early-stage sales are comparatively slower. Overall, no slowdown in sales observed.
- Total bookings for FY '25 stood at Rs. 605 crores with collections of Rs. 523 crores.
