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MMP Industries LtdQ2 FY23

MMP Industries Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 282P/E: 16.9Market Cap: ₹697 Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Foil segment is identified as a major growth driver, especially in value-added products like pharma laminate, blister coating, and printing.
  • Capacity expansions: Installation of a second rolling mill expected by Q4 this financial year, enabling peak aluminum rolling capacity of 700 MT/month and potential topline of Rs. 240-250 Crores next year.
  • Pharma sector approvals underway with large companies like Ajanta Pharma, Sun Pharma, Alkem, and others; ramp-up expected to accelerate post audits and vendor approval processes.
  • Powder segment growth is driven mainly by the AAC construction segment, expected to be the fastest-growing area.
  • Q2 expected to see 10-15% volume growth over last year despite seasonality.
  • Volumes in foil segment currently at ~45-50% capacity in conversion, with plans to raise utilization and thereby margins.
  • Overall, growth driven by increased capacity, approvals, and entering new markets (Bangladesh, Nepal, Nigeria).

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects strong revenue growth particularly in the aluminium foil segment driven by approvals and orders from major pharma companies, along with growth in value-added segments like printing (Page 7, 14).
  • Volume growth in the aluminium powder segment is anticipated at 10-15% in Q2 compared to last year despite monsoon-related slowdowns (Page 7).
  • Margins currently impacted by volatile metal prices and inflationary pressures, but management hopes for margin stability with aluminum price stabilization (Pages 5-6, 9).
  • EBITDA per ton in the powder segment is around Rs. 30,000 to Rs. 35,000; foil EBITDA per ton not yet stable due to evolving business (Page 17).
  • Free cash flow positive status is expected sometime next financial year (Page 15).
  • Operating asset turnover improvement to about 5 times is targeted within two years, though 6-7 times is currently challenging (Page 9).
  • The ramp-up in foil business and conversion segment capacity utilization increase will drive margin expansion (Pages 13-14).

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Fundraise plans

No
  • The company is currently financing expansions, including the second rolling mill, entirely through internal accruals.
  • As of now, there are no plans to raise funds through external borrowings or equity.
  • Management mentioned that future expansions and capacity increases will also be funded internally.
  • No specific timeline or discussion of new debt or equity fundraising was indicated in the call.
  • For detailed capital allocation plans, the management offered to respond to investors via email.

Order book

  • MMP Industries Limited does not maintain a formal order book as orders arrive regularly based on demand rather than being booked months in advance.
  • In the powder segment, Q2 is typically the slowest quarter due to seasonal factors such as the monsoon, which reduces mining and construction activities.
  • The company expects a 10% to 15% volume growth in Q2 compared to Q2 of the previous year despite it being traditionally slow.
  • Foil segment is anticipated to see strong growth with approvals pending from a major pharma company and increasing orders in value-added printing.
  • Overall, the business expects growth in both powder and foil segments, but orders are managed on a rolling basis rather than pre-booked.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company is undertaking a rolling mill installation expected to be commissioned by Q4 of the current financial year or Q1 of the next financial year.
  • This new rolling mill will increase peak aluminium rolling capacity to 700 metric tons per month.
  • The company targets a topline of about Rs. 240-250 Crores with the new rolling mill capacity starting next financial year.
  • Expansion is being financed through internal accruals; as of now, there are no plans for external borrowings.
  • Management is open to exploring capital allocation strategies including dividend payout and potential new avenues but prefers to reply on these details via email.
  • No explicit mention was made of any "big bang" new or different product category investments beyond capacity expansions in foils and powders.

How does MMP Industries Ltd rank vs peers in ?

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1MMP Industries Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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