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Niyogin Fintech LtdQ2 FY23

Niyogin Fintech Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 41.9Market Cap: ₹529 CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

5 of 5 growth signals are positive — a strong management growth story.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • The company targets a loan book growth to Rs. 250 crore by FY24 and aims for Rs. 500 crore by the next year, which implies substantial credit growth.
  • The Board has approved a leverage of 1x on net worth for the current year, with expectations to increase leverage to 2-2.2x to support growth.
  • Gross Transaction Value (GTV) demonstrated strong growth of 70% quarter-on-quarter, reaching approx. Rs. 9,900 crore in Q1 FY24, with July 2023 alone at Rs. 3,600 crore, projecting an annualized run rate of about Rs. 12,000 crore.
  • The company expects to leverage operating efficiencies with limited increase in expenses, indicating improved profitability as volumes scale.
  • New products like neo banking and prepaid cards with better margins are expected to contribute to future revenue expansion.
  • Expansion of Banking as a Service (BaaS) partners to 796 (+20% YoY) supports increasing footprint and transaction volumes.

Margin guidance

Category 1
  • Q1 FY24 showed strong operational growth with 70% Q-on-Q growth in GTV; optimism continues for H1 FY24 and beyond.
  • Operating leverage is visible, with revenues growing faster than costs; potential breakeven expected in 1-2 quarters if current trends sustain.
  • FY25 targets include Rs. 500 crore loan book and Rs. 50-60 crore EBITDA, reflecting profitability focus.
  • Net take rate expected to stabilize around 9-10 basis points with new higher-margin products like neo banking and prepaid cards contributing.
  • Loan book growth target of Rs. 250 crore in FY24 with gradual increase in leverage (up to 1x approved, possibly 2-2.2x in FY25).
  • Expect slight profit in FY24 driven by operating leverage and growth in both lending and transaction businesses.
  • Provisioning impacts are one-off and not expected to recur, supporting improved margins going forward.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Recent capital raise was done through warrants, with an initial Rs. 20 crore expected soon and the balance over an 18-month period.
  • The company has started taking leverage, with a credit line of Rs. 15 crore from one bank already in place.
  • Discussions with multiple lenders are ongoing to increase leverage for loan book growth.
  • Current loan book leverage is negligible but is expected to grow to about Rs. 60-70 crore of leverage on a Rs. 180 crore equity base.
  • Board has approved a leverage of up to 1x on net worth for the current year, with plans to revisit for higher leverage to reach Rs. 500 crore loan book next year.
  • The company aims to grow the loan book while being calibrated to maintain commercial sense and risk management.
  • No explicit mention of upcoming equity fundraising beyond warrant conversions and capital already raised.

Order book

Yes
  • The company targets building a lending book of about Rs. 250 crore by the end of FY24.
  • Currently, they have a lending book of around Rs. 160 crore equity deployed, expected to increase to Rs. 180 crore after a Rs. 20 crore capital infusion.
  • Leverage on this book is currently negligible (~Rs. 13 crore) but expected to increase to Rs. 60-70 crore to support growth.
  • The board has approved a leverage of 1x on net worth for this year and plans to scale to Rs. 500 crore loan book next year, with 2x-2.2x leverage.
  • The focus remains on calibrated and thoughtful growth to ensure creditworthiness and sustainability.
  • Multiple fintech partnerships (e.g., Khatabook, Capital Trust, Bizongo) support robust underwriting and book growth.
  • Aim to achieve Rs. 500 crore book with Rs. 50-60 crore EBITDA by FY25.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company has taken a credit line of Rs. 15 crores as leverage to grow its lending book, indicating capital deployment towards lending growth.
  • Rs. 20 crores from recent capital raise (warrants) will be deployed to shore up the balance sheet and support lending business expansion.
  • Tech expenses saw an increase (~Rs. 2 crores) mainly to get ready with enough server space and infrastructure for new product launches like prepaid cards, reflecting strategic tech investment.
  • No significant increase in tech expenses expected in the next couple of quarters as current build compensates for scalability.
  • Future leverage expected to grow for loan book expansion: aiming for Rs. 250 crore book by FY24 and Rs. 500 crore by next year, with incremental capital needs to be approved by the Board.
  • Focus on technology infrastructure investment to enable differentiated, fully digital lending and product capabilities in partnership networks.

How does Niyogin Fintech Ltd rank vs peers in Finance?

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