Niyogin Fintech Ltd
Q3 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis
Finance
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 1orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Niyogin Fintech currently remains a zero-debt and net cash company with Rs. 90 crores cash in hand as of Q2FY23.
- Management is evaluating selective M&A opportunities but is cautious, avoiding distressed acquisitions.
- No explicit mention of ongoing or imminent new fundraising through debt or equity in the call.
- Capital on the books will be partly deployed to scale the lending book and to explore strategic bolt-on M&A targets.
- The company raised Rs.50 crores in March to invest in its subsidiary iServeU for its three-year hyper-growth plan; further investments are not anticipated imminently as build phase is largely completed.
- Overall, the focus is on organic growth and selective M&A using existing cash rather than immediate new fundraising.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The primary investment required at Kirana store level is minimal:
- Purchase of a micro-ATM device costing Rs. 1500-1600 or an AEPS device costing Rs. 800-900.
- Need for a smartphone or laptop to download and run the app-based solution.
- The company has already invested Rs. 50 crores into building the rural tech business and new products.
- No significant incremental hiring planned, as most build and tech development are completed.
- Approx. Rs. 90 crores cash on hand with a selective approach toward M&A opportunities related to current business lines.
- Future capital deployment:
- Some capital will be used to scale up the lending book, considered a profitable business.
- Exploring bolt-on M&A that have strong fundamentals and align with existing business.
- Device sale contracts and supply tie-ups are ongoing and expected to contribute to revenues in upcoming quarters.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Targeting Rs. 500 Crores revenue by FY25 with 10-12% EBITDA margins.
- Gross Transaction Value (GTV) expected to grow from approx. Rs. 9,000 Crores in FY22 to over Rs. 1,00,000 Crores in FY25.
- Partner BC agents (touchpoints) aimed to increase 6-8 times from ~247,000 in FY22 to 1.5-2 million by FY25.
- Significant volume uptick expected driven by multiple large enterprise customers going live.
- October saw a 21% month-on-month jump in GTV (~Rs. 1,250 Crores from Rs. 1,000 Crores in September).
- Four new partners could add incremental volumes of Rs. 500 Crores per month in upcoming quarters.
- Expect strong J-curve growth in transaction volumes and revenues.
- Lending business scale-up will contribute substantially to revenue and profitability from FY25 onward.
- Operating leverage will improve post initial resource build, boosting EBITDA in coming years.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Target revenue of Rs. 500 crores by FY25.
- EBITDA margin expected between 10% to 12% at that scale.
- Breakeven expected to happen much earlier than FY25 as business scales.
- Current losses due to investments in product build and operating costs, which will reduce as products scale in the market.
- Lending book growth will contribute positively to profitability, as lending is deeply profitable.
- Gradual improvement in bottom line expected over the next few quarters.
- J-curve in volumes anticipated with enterprise clients scaling up.
- Incremental revenues from device sales and transaction volumes expected to increase.
- Operating leverage to improve significantly post initial resource build.
- The company aims for sustained volume and revenue scale-up driving earnings growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The company mentioned bidding for several large device contracts worth between Rs. 10-30 crores each.
- They have strategically tied up with manufacturers to jointly bid and ensure supply availability.
- Multiple enterprise partners have recently gone live or are scaling, including India Post Payments Bank, contributing to significant volume growth.
- Four newly signed large partners could add an incremental volume of Rs. 500 crores per month once fully live.
- The pipeline of enterprise customers using their technology is growing, indicating a strong orderbook for technology and services.
- No explicit quantified "orderbook" value is stated, but ongoing bids and signed partnerships suggest a healthy pipeline expected to drive revenue and volume growth over the next few quarters.
