Niyogin Fintech Ltd

Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Finance

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no explicit mention of any current or future new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript. - It is noted that M2P Fintech, a competitor, is raising capital to sustain their significant burn and acquisitions, but Niyogin Fintech does not mention any such plans. - The company currently has a standalone total debt of Rs. 62.2 crores as of Q2 FY25. - The management emphasizes cautious growth, particularly in loan book scaling, but does not indicate any imminent fundraising. - The focus appears to be on organic growth through partnerships, SaaS revenue, and expanding market presence rather than immediate capital raising. - No direct guidance or statement on planned equity or debt rounds is provided for upcoming periods.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Niyogin has entered into a strategic MoU with PAX Technology India to launch an all-in-one Sound Box terminal integrating QR payments, NFC, EMV dip transactions, and biometric validation. - This agreement includes a strategic R&D collaboration to develop new products and solutions, indicating ongoing and future capital investment in product innovation. - The company is focusing on deploying approximately 6 lakh Sound Box devices over the next 12 to 18 months, which involves significant capital deployment in device procurement and deployment. - Shifting from reseller-based suppliers to direct contracts with device manufacturers like PAX Technology improves supply sustainability and commercial terms, reflecting strategic investment in supply chain control. - Investment in product development under Niyogin.AI, including OCR-based AI tools for KYC and underwriting engines, indicates capital allocation towards technology and SaaS product enhancements.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Revenue growth is considered sustainable due to incremental contracts in both Niyogin and iServeU, including new Sound Box contracts and a contract with NSDL Payments Bank for Agency Banking Solution. - The financial inclusion segment onboarded 31 new partners, and Niyogin added RapiPay as a new lending partner, contributing to scaling up. - SaaS revenue from Sound Box devices is expected to generate Rs. 1 to 1.5 crores per month once 5 lakh devices are deployed. - Deployment of 6 lakh Sound Box devices expected within 12 to 18 months, potentially driving significant SaaS revenues. - International market entry, especially in the Middle East, is expected to start generating revenues by Q4 FY25. - Pivot to SaaS and program management is expected to yield better margins and improvement in EBITDA from Q3 onwards. - Loan book growth is cautious with a target around Rs. 350 crores by year-end, reflecting measured scaling amid market conditions.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Revenue growth is expected to be sustainable, driven by incremental contracts and new partnersβ€”31 new partners onboarded for financial inclusion. - iServeU has turned EBITDA positive this quarter (~Rs. 2.5 crore positive), with further EBITDA growth anticipated as SaaS revenues increase with minimal incremental costs. - SaaS revenues from deployed Sound Box devices projected around Rs. 1-1.5 crore per month, with a pipeline of 6 lakh devices expected to be deployed within 12-18 months. - Financial inclusion loan book growth is cautious but targeted to reach ~Rs. 350 crore by year-end, with strong portfolio quality (net NPA approx. 3%-3.5%, partnership book NPAs <0.5%). - EBITDA target for FY25 is delayed by about six months due to headwinds but management expects clarity and growth in the next two quarters. - International revenues from Middle East market expected to commence from Q4 FY25, although initially not significant.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Niyogin has a pipeline of over 6 lakh Sound Box devices. - So far, 59,000 devices have been delivered till the end of Q2 FY25. - Devices are being supplied for contracts with large banks like Canara Bank and SBI Payments. - Deployment timeline for the 6 lakh devices is estimated between 12 to 18 months. - Devices are shipped in bulk, around 50,000 per shipment. - Incremental contracts involve newer all-in-one devices integrating Sound Box, QR code, NFC, and EMV functionalities. - The contracts are with large institutions who further distribute devices to retailers. - Execution is dependent on principal parties but the plan is consistent device deployment over the timeline. - The orderbook is significant and growing, with active bidding for additional contracts underway.