NMDC LtdQ4 FY23

NMDC Ltd Q4 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹74.6P/E: 9.4Market Cap: ₹70.2K CrSector: Minerals & Mining

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • FY2024 production guidance: 46 to 50 million tonnes (Pages 12, 13)
  • Sales guidance also expected to align with production around 46 million tonnes (Page 13)
  • Plan to increase production from 40 million tonnes to 67-70 million tonnes, eventually targeting 100 million tonnes capacity (Page 12)
  • Capex plans to support growth include approximately Rs. 2000 Crores in FY2024 and Rs. 3000 Crores annually from FY2025 onward (Pages 5, 9)
  • Expansion projects include capacity enhancement at existing mines, commissioning of slurry pipeline, and pellet plant (Pages 5, 12)
  • Long-term iron ore supply agreement with NMDC Steel Limited expected to add around 4.5 to 5 million tonnes annually when plant runs full capacity (Page 19)
  • Net profit expected to improve with higher production volumes, estimated above Rs. 5500 Crores in FY2024 (Page 3)

See what NMDC Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

No
  • NMDC is focusing on massive capex to achieve its 100 million tonne production target.
  • The company plans to spend around Rs. 2000 Crores in FY2024 on ongoing projects.
  • From FY2025 onwards, NMDC intends to spend Rs. 3000 Crores annually on capacity expansion and dispatch infrastructure.
  • There is no explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity during the call.
  • The company prefers to utilize its cash balances and generate sufficient cash from operations for capex.
  • NMDC currently holds close to Rs. 7000 Crores in cash and prioritizes reinvestment over shareholder payouts.
  • No indication of plans for equity dilution or new debt issuance as of now.

See what NMDC Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • NMDC plans massive capex to achieve a 100 million tonne production target, prioritizing investment over shareholder buybacks or dividends.
  • FY2024 capex guidance is around Rs. 1400 Crores, increasing to Rs. 2000 Crores, and aiming for Rs. 3000 Crores annually from 2025 onwards.
  • Major ongoing projects include:
  • - Pellet plant (~Rs. 1200 Crores) by L&T.
  • - Slurry pipeline laying (~Rs. 1100-1200 Crores) by L&T.
  • - Beneficiation plant (~Rs. 900 Crores) by KPTL.
  • Future expansions:
  • - Additional slurry pipelines from Nagarnar to Vizag and possibly Raipur, costing Rs. 7000-8000 Crores each.
  • - Capacity expansion projects in existing mines (Deposits 40, 11C) and screening plants.
  • Total capital work in progress as of May 2023 stands at approximately Rs. 22,935 Crores, including steel plant investments and coal-related capex.

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