Oriental Aromatics LtdQ1 FY23
Oriental Aromatics Ltd
Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 5
Margin
Category 4
Fundraise
Yes
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 5- →The company anticipates a challenging next 2-3 quarters with subdued demand and pricing pressures, especially in camphor and aroma chemicals divisions.
- →Strong growth is expected in the fragrance division driven by new wins and participation in more projects, though overall industry growth is uncertain.
- →Capacity expansions (Brownfield and Greenfield) are ongoing, expected to complete by FY24, potentially enabling higher volumes in 2-3 years.
- →Management aims for profitable growth focusing on efficient raw material procurement, cost reduction, and process improvements rather than just volume increase.
- →Stabilization of demand and pricing is expected after 2-3 quarters, potentially leading to stable EBITDA and higher sales clarity thereafter.
- →Due to prevailing uncertainties in raw material prices, demand, and competition, precise revenue or volume guidance is deferred until clearer market conditions emerge.
Margin guidance
Category 4- →The company expects a challenging next 2-3 quarters due to subdued demand, pricing pressure, and external factors, particularly in camphor and aroma chemicals.
- →Management is focusing on internal process improvements and productivity enhancements to remain lean and profitable when demand stabilizes.
- →They are cautious about providing specific guidance for turnover or earnings in the near term due to volatility in raw material prices and market conditions.
- →Capex of around ₹200-205 crore (Baroda, Bareilly, Mahad) is planned for FY24, which will support future capacity and growth once market conditions improve.
- →Emphasis remains on profitable growth rather than volume growth alone, aiming to optimize margins via raw material procurement and operational efficiencies.
- →Recovery and upward trajectory in earnings, ROE, and ROCE are expected to become clearer after 6-8 quarters when the market stabilizes and new capacities come online.
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →The company is undertaking a phased investment approach, currently piloting the CSTP before proceeding with further investments.
- →Peak debt levels by the end of the current year are expected to be around ₹370-450 crores.
- →For ongoing and planned CAPEX (Baroda, Mahad, Bareilly), the company plans to fund approximately 70-75% of the total project cost through debt.
- →Mahad project’s total planned investment is about ₹100 crores, with ₹25-32 crores already invested.
- →No explicit mention of raising equity funds in the transcript.
- →Focus remains on managing internal operations and strategic investment phases with controlled debt funding aligned to project progress.
Order book
- →The company indicated that for H1 2023, customer RFQs (Request for Quotations) allocations have been honored to about 60-70%, with the remaining either postponed or canceled, reflecting softness in demand.
- →Inventory buildup is relatively high due to postponed procurements by global customers and slowdown in Europe and America.
- →There is a challenging environment with subdued demand and oversupply, especially in the camphor market.
- →Due to these factors, a clearer picture on order book stabilizing is expected only after two to three quarters.
- →The management prefers not to provide firm guidance at this moment due to market uncertainties.
- →They are seeing increased participation in new fragrance and flavor projects which is helping the fragrance division grow despite overall market challenges.
Capex plans
Yes- →The company has ongoing and planned capex across multiple locations: Baroda, Bareilly, and Mahad.
- →Baroda capex balance is around ₹100 crore; Mahad greenfield project expected cost is ₹92-100 crore; Bareilly capex remaining is small (₹6-7 crore).
- →Total capex planned for FY24 is about ₹200-205 crore.
- →Debt funding expected at 70-75% of total project cost, with peak debt around ₹370-380 crore by year-end.
- →Mahad project is phased, with ₹25-32 crore already invested; total planned investment about ₹100 crore.
- →The new plant validation and market capture are expected over 6-9 months, aiming to capture 40-50% market share within 2.5 years.
- →The company continues to invest strategically while focusing on derisking and China Plus One strategy despite market challenges.
- →Expansion including the CSTP project expected to complete mostly by FY24.
How does Oriental Aromatics Ltd rank vs peers in Chemicals & Petrochemicals?
Pro feature1Oriental Aromatics Ltd
Rev 5Mar 4
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