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Pennar Industries LtdQ2 FY23

Pennar Industries Ltd

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Revenue for FY24 expected to be higher than last year with solid growth plans across key verticals.
  • Pre-engineered buildings (PEB) business projected to grow at double-digit rates both in India and the U.S.
  • Body-in-white (BIW) business may double in size.
  • Hydraulics and industrial components businesses expected to scale well through the year.
  • U.S. subsidiary Ascent is growing by double-digit rates annually with a $45 million+ order book.
  • Railway business growth to remain modest, not a focus area for hypergrowth.
  • New capacity additions planned for Hyderabad, Chennai, Raebareli, and U.S. plants to drive volume growth.
  • Large diameter steel tube capacity expansion underway expected to boost revenues over next few quarters.
  • Overall quarterly revenue growth may moderate due to exiting low-margin businesses but compensated by scale-up in high-margin verticals.
  • Long-term aim to multiply current revenue over next few years through focused expansion in key industries and geographies.

Margin guidance

Category 1
  • Pennar Industries aims for robust revenue and profit growth, focusing on high-margin businesses like hydraulics, BIW, pre-engineered buildings (PEB), and engineering services across India, the U.S., and Europe.
  • The company targets a 5% PAT margin within the next 1-2 years, up from the current ~2.8%, implying nearly doubling net profits.
  • Operating margins in key segments like PP are above 20%, with PBDT net margins of 10-15% achievable and currently trending at those levels.
  • The U.S. subsidiary Ascent is projected to grow revenues at double-digit rates annually with around 10% PBDT margin.
  • Pre-engineered buildings business expects sustained double-digit sales growth and operating margins around 15%, with margin expansion anticipated as capacity scales.
  • Capital efficiency targeted above 20-25% ROCE, alongside steady margin improvements quarter-on-quarter.
  • Railways business is stable but not targeted for hypergrowth; focus remains on scalable, higher-margin sectors.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no specific mention of any current or planned new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
  • The company is focusing on scaling existing businesses and deploying capital in areas like hydraulics, large diameter tubes, and pre-engineered buildings.
  • CAPEX plans are still being finalized and are expected to be communicated in the next quarter; no concrete details on raising funds yet.
  • Interest costs were higher recently due to working capital increase but are expected to moderate in the coming quarters.
  • Share buybacks have been done regularly, and future buybacks will depend on Board decisions and regulatory changes, but no equity fundraising plans were mentioned.
  • The emphasis appears to be on improving profitability, capital efficiency, and scaling through internal accruals rather than fundraising.

Order book

Yes
  • Pre-Engineered Buildings (PEB) order book: Approx. Rs. 714 crore
  • Railway order book: Approx. Rs. 110 crore
  • Ascent (U.S. subsidiary) order book: Around $45 million (approx. Rs. 375 crore)
  • Boilers business order book: Around Rs. 130 crore
  • Order execution typically occurs over a 3-6 month period, longer for Railways
  • The order book is considered short cycle, particularly for Ascent where projected revenue this year exceeds the current order book
  • Management indicates being at a peak order level for Ascent
  • PEB and Ascent capacity expansions expected to drive higher order intake going forward
  • Railway order book is stable but not targeted for hyper-growth; Railways business will grow at a certain rate but is not the primary focus for large scale expansion

Capex plans

Yes
  • Pennar is setting up a new pre-engineered buildings (PEB) plant in North India (Raebareli) with a total CAPEX of about Rs. 40 crore, expected to come online in the next couple of quarters, aiming for a two-year payback.
  • They plan to expand capacity at existing PEB plants in Hyderabad and Chennai, as well as at their US plants.
  • A Rs. 30 crore CAPEX is allocated for commissioning large diameter tube production, focusing on the high-margin market segment (8 inch and above tubes).
  • Capital outlay for hydraulics and BIW business units is still under discussion and not finalized; management will update next quarter.
  • No massive investments planned in Railways business; growth will be scaled at a certain rate without hypergrowth capital deployment.
  • Capital efficiency target remains above 20%, aiming towards 25%, with continuous efforts to improve profitability and return metrics.

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