Raymond LtdQ2 FY25

Raymond Ltd Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 633P/E: 0.8Market Cap: ₹4.2K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Real estate business expects revenue potential of INR32,000 crores over 7-8 years, including Thane land (INR25,000 crores) and four JDAs (INR7,000 crores).
  • Annual real estate revenue potential estimated at INR3,500-4,000 crores, with price increases expected over the next 7-8 years.
  • Real estate sales strong with 65% inventory sold in Thane and rapid sales in Bandra (100 apartments in 30 days).
  • Engineering business aims to double revenue from current INR1,800 crores over next 4-5 years, driven by aerospace, defense, auto components, and consumables segments.
  • Aerospace-defense segment growing rapidly at 25%-30% year-on-year.
  • Continued expansion through new projects in real estate and capacity additions in engineering machining.
  • Robust order book and positive outlook in aerospace and defense sectors supporting faster growth and improved margins.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Engineering business is expected to double revenues over the next 4-5 years, driven by aerospace, defense, auto components, and engineering consumables (Page 6).
  • Aerospace and defense segment is growing rapidly at 25%-30% year-on-year with higher margins, enabling faster EBITDA growth (Page 6).
  • Engineering business currently has a run rate of INR300 crores with 25%-27% EBITDA margin; expects significant growth in 2-3 years (Page 18, Page 15).
  • Real estate business (including Thane land and JDA projects) has potential revenues of INR32,000 crores over 7-8 years with 24%-25% EBITDA margin and 25% IRR (Page 8, Page 12).
  • Real estate projected to generate INR4,000 crores annual revenue in 3-5 years (Page 8).
  • Lifestyle business will operate as a debt-free entity with clear segment reporting improving financial clarity (Page 14).
  • Overall, strategic initiatives and demergers aim to unlock significant shareholder value and improve operational focus (Page 4).

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Currently, no significant capital raising is expected for at least the next two years due to strong cash flow visibility from existing projects and adequate cash reserves (INR500+ crores).
  • The real estate business is focusing predominantly on Joint Development Agreements (JDA), which are asset-light and require limited upfront investment.
  • Peak investment per project is typically INR300-350 crores, which gets replenished as projects launch and progress.
  • The company prefers to have sufficient cash surplus to meet exigencies and avoid project delays.
  • While project debt is a possibility for certain costs, the company emphasizes securing all approvals upfront to avoid stopping projects mid-way.
  • Equity fundraising or debt raising may be considered in the future if the business scale or market conditions require, but no immediate plans have been indicated.

Order book

Yes
  • The overall engineering business is currently in the range of INR1,800 to INR1,900 crores in turnover.
  • The engineering segment includes aerospace-defense (growing at 25%-30% YoY), auto components (INR1,200 crores, growing at 10%-15%), and engineering consumables (INR500 crores, growing at 8%-12%).
  • No specific outstanding order book numbers mentioned, but the business has good visibility.
  • Aerospace-defense and auto segments show strong growth potential, expected to double revenues in 4-5 years.
  • Real estate has a strong revenue potential pipeline with INR32,000 crores GDV spread over 7-8 years, INR7,000 crores JDA projects recently signed.
  • Real estate pre-sales stand at INR2,300 crores with 6 million sq. ft. under construction.
  • Focus is on JDA models for real estate with careful project evaluation to ensure 25% IRR target.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Future growth in real estate will be predominantly through asset-light Joint Development Agreements (JDAs); minimal outright land purchases expected unless very attractive opportunities arise.
  • Peak investment for a typical INR2,000 crore project is estimated at INR300-350 crores, utilized productively in ongoing and upcoming projects.
  • Real estate business currently has cash of ~INR500 crores supporting its journey with no significant capital raising expected in the next two years.
  • Engineering business aims to add capacity incrementally with smaller capex to double revenues over the next five years, focusing on higher-value aerospace and defense components and assemblies.
  • Aerospace and defense subsidiary demerger expected by March 31, 2025, facilitating focused investment and growth.
  • No plan for JK Files IPO; engineering business consolidating via demergers under Raymond Limited to streamline investments.
  • Overall capex focused on operational efficiency, product mix enhancement, and expanding engineering capacity with innovation.

How does Raymond Ltd rank vs peers in ?

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1Raymond Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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