
Ruchira Papers Q2 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 2
Fundraise
N/A
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- Ruchira Papers targets continued growth in production for FY19, aiming for approximately 1,33,000 MT for the full year.
- For H1FY19, production was 62,137 MT; higher production expected in H2FY19 to meet guidance for 55,000 tons Writing & Printing paper and 78,000 tons Kraft paper.
- Demand for writing and printing paper is seasonally stronger post-Diwali, indicating better sales in second half.
- NSR (Net Sales Realization) for Writing and Printing paper is improving, with prices moving from Rs. 58,970/PMT in Q2FY19 to Rs. 64,000/PMT currently, expected to sustain and possibly improve further.
- Kraft paper prices are stable around Rs. 27,000/PMT.
- Shift towards value-added Kraft products (targeting 15-20% production share) is gradual but expected to grow, potentially increasing NSR.
- Domestic demand is robust, with limited competition from imports owing to logistics and pricing dynamics.
- Greenfield expansion of 100,000 TPA writing and printing paper plant planned, subject to clearances, which will boost future capacity and growth.
See what Ruchira Papers management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
- No specific decision on sources of funds for the proposed Greenfield expansion has been finalized yet.
- The company is waiting to obtain all necessary clearances, including environmental clearance expected by the end of the financial year.
- Management emphasized keeping an open mind regarding fundraising options and will finalize plans once clearances are in place.
- Vipin Gupta mentioned that they are working on the internal IRR calculations for the expansion and will provide exact figures in the next quarter con-call.
- No announcement or indication of imminent debt or equity fundraising was made as of this call (November 2018).
See what Ruchira Papers management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- Ruchira Papers is planning a Greenfield expansion project for manufacturing Writing and Printing Paper with a capacity of 1,00,000 TPA at Chamkaur Sahib, Punjab.
- They have acquired 109.02 acres of land and the Punjab government is finalizing the sale of an additional 75 acres expected to be registered by mid-December.
- Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) clearance is expected by mid of Q4 FY19 or by the end of the financial year.
- Machinery purchase and fund-raising plans for this project will be finalized after obtaining clearances.
- The company is currently evaluating the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) for the Greenfield expansion before deciding source of funds, to be shared in next quarter con-call.
- Ongoing investment focus includes chemical recovery, effluent treatment, and power co-generation plants.
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