Sadbhav Engg.

Q2 FY16 Earnings Call Analysis

Construction

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No explicit mention of immediate new fundraising through debt or equity in the call transcript. - Refinancing of debt in several SPVs is underway (e.g., Maharashtra Border Check Post, Ahmedabad Ring Road), aimed at reducing interest cost and improving credit ratings. - Internal accruals are expected to meet the required equity for five new Hybrid Annuity Projects (Rs.461 crores estimated equity), with no mention of raising fresh equity. - Working capital blocked in Irrigation and Delhi Metro projects is expected to release Rs.100 crores by year-end, improving liquidity. - Use of commercial paper (up to Rs.200 crores sanctioned) is ongoing due to favorable interest rates, reducing finance costs. - Overall finance cost expected to reduce gradually due to efficient debt management and release of blocked working capital. - No direct statements on fresh fundraising plans, focus is on internal resources and refinancing existing borrowings.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- SIPL standalone operations may require some machinery purchases for major maintenance, but the amount is not expected to be high. (Page 16) - The company plans to meet equity requirements for five new Hybrid Annuity Projects (HAM) worth Rs.461 crores primarily from internal accruals. (Page 8) - No major working capital requirement is expected for SIPL standalone due to funds lying with SPVs and refinancing arrangements. (Page 16) - Additional capital was blocked in projects like Delhi Metro (approx. Rs.95-100 crores) and Irrigation (approx. Rs.175-180 crores), but these amounts are starting to be released back into cash flow. (Page 12) - The company is working on joint ventures, including one for mining projects requiring technical support from international partners. (Page 17)
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Construction business expected to grow largely driven by Roads and Highways sector, particularly from four Hybrid Annuity Projects starting appointed dates from October 2016. - FY17 order intake guidance between Rs.5,000 to Rs.7,000 crores; Rs.3,100 to Rs.3,200 crores already secured. - Overall construction revenue anticipated to jump by at least 15% over FY16, targeting around Rs.3,700 crores. - Irrigation segment expected to surpass Rs.750 to Rs.800 crores in top line with new irrigation bids of Rs.11,500 crores underway. - Mining revenue projected around Rs.350 to Rs.370 crores by year-end. - SIPL standalone revenue to grow significantly over next 2-3 years due to major maintenance activities and EPC works, estimated Rs.400 crores across FY17 to FY19. - Traffic growth in toll projects steady at 6.6%-7.3% (excluding underperforming stretch), supporting operational cash profits. - Large pipeline of 98 road projects (~Rs.70,000 to Rs.95,000 crores) expected to be bid by year-end, ensuring future growth opportunities.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- **Construction Segment Growth:** Expected 15% increase in revenue over FY16, targeting around Rs. 3,700 crores in FY17 driven by EPC and Hybrid Annuity projects (Page 11). - **Irrigation Sector:** Revenue expected to surpass Rs. 750-800 crores in FY17; execution in previously stuck projects has gained momentum (Page 11). - **EPC Margins:** Consistent EPC project margins around 11%, with potential incremental margins from Hybrid Annuity projects in Q3/Q4 FY17 (Page 12). - **SIPL Standalone:** Increase in revenue from major maintenance and routine maintenance over FY17-FY19; anticipated Rs. 400 crores revenue from new Hybrid Annuity EPC and toll plaza works (Pages 15-16). - **Working Capital & Finance Costs:** Improvements expected with release of blocked working capital, leading to gradual reduction in finance cost and improved cash flow (Pages 12-13, 16). - **Overall Profitability:** EBITDA margins expected to improve from current levels due to easing competitive intensity and selective project bidding (Page 18).
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Order book as of June 30, 2016: Rs.6,829 crores (excluding EPC value of five new Hybrid Annuity Projects won by SIPL). - EPC value for these five HAM Projects for Sadbhav Engineering: Rs.3,128 crores, taking the combined order book close to Rs.10,000 crores. - Road sector forms the major part with Rs.6,500 crores of the order book already in Road projects. - EPC projects worth Rs.14,112 crores are currently on for bidding across 11 projects in the Road EPC segment. - NHAI pipeline: about 98 DBR projects under final preparation and approval, valued between Rs.70,000 crores to Rs.95,000 crores, expected to be bid out by year-end. - Irrigation bids in progress with one bid of Rs.475 crores submitted and nine more bids adding to Rs.11,500 crores being prepared. - Order intake guidance for FY17 remains between Rs.5,000 crores to Rs.7,000 crores.