Sanwaria Consum.

Q3 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis

Food Products

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 1orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company plans a total CAPEX of Rs. 250 crore plus Rs. 250 crore for working capital, totaling Rs. 500 crore for expansion including rice, wheat flour, soya flour, and new products. - Fundraising is primarily planned through Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP), some private placement, or Global Depository Receipts (GDR). - The QIP has been delayed since July-August 2018 due to market conditions and the current share price being below the fair value (~Rs. 20-24). - No buyback will be done simultaneously with QIP as company cannot do both at the same time. - Debt levels are being managed prudently; although absolute debt may increase with business growth, the debt-to-revenue ratio is expected to reduce. - Management is working on increasing visibility and aligning the share price to the fair value to facilitate successful equity fundraising. No explicit mention of new debt fundraising was made; focus is on equity fundraising via QIP and related routes.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Sanwaria Consumer Limited is planning capacity expansion in rice, wheat flour, soya flour, soya bari, and new products. - They are considering both Brownfield and Greenfield expansions. - Planned capital expenditure (CAPEX) is Rs. 250 crore for capacity expansion. - Additional Rs. 250 crore is estimated for working capital after expansion, totaling Rs. 500 crore investment. - Funding plans include an upcoming Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP), private placement, or Global Depository Receipts (GDR). - The company is currently in the process of raising funds; market conditions and appropriate share pricing are critical factors. - They aim to complete funding when the share price approaches the fair value (~Rs. 24). - The company is also planning to increase product portfolio and may use brand ambassadors for brand promotion. - Discussions are ongoing with Patanjali for supplying 4-5 new products, which could significantly impact future profitability.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Management targets a top line of ₹10,000 crore in the next 2-3 years. - They aim to achieve a double-digit EBITDA margin within this timeframe, leading to proportional PAT margin growth. - The company plans to maintain a CAGR of around 20% based on the last three years' performance. - Expansion plans include increasing capacity for rice, wheat flour, soya flour, and soya bari through both brownfield and greenfield projects. - Planned CAPEX of ₹250 crore and ₹250 crore for working capital, totaling ₹500 crore. - Fundraising efforts include upcoming QIP, private placement, or GDR, subject to achieving a suitable price. - Retail expansion and increasing product portfolio, including tie-ups with Patanjali, are expected to drive volume and profitability growth. - Emphasis on enhancing brand value possibly through brand ambassadors to support new product launches.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Management targets double-digit EBITDA within the next 2-3 years, which will proportionately increase PAT margins. - The goal is to achieve a top line of Rs. 10,000 crore alongside this margin expansion. - Company aims for a PAT margin increase from the current 3% toward 5%+ over time. - They have maintained a historical CAGR of around 20% over the past three years and aim to sustain this growth rate. - Profit per quarter is currently strong (around Rs. 44-45 crore) and expected to improve further. - Expansion plans include CAPEX of Rs. 250 crore plus Rs. 250 crore for working capital, likely driving future earnings growth. - Export growth, especially after expected US market entry (post FDA and quarantine approvals), is projected to positively impact profitability. - Management does not provide specific full-year PAT or revenue guidance but emphasizes steady growth and value unlocking for shareholders.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

The transcript from the provided pages does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Sanwaria Consumer Limited. However, some related insights include: - Discussions about ongoing business expansion, especially in eastern and western India, not focusing on Delhi or northern India. - Management mentioned ongoing discussions about new contracts with Patanjali for 4-5 products, though no new contracts have been finalized yet. - The company is working on increasing institutional investors via QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement) to support expansion plans. - The rice business procures paddy from farmers and agents (AMCR and adadhias), processes it after maturing the paddy, and brands the rice as per requirements. - Expansion plans are focused on increasing retail presence, including online and physical stores. No specific order book or pending order values are disclosed in the provided content.