Shree Cement LtdQ3 FY23

Shree Cement Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹23,120P/E: 51.2Market Cap: ₹83.4K CrSector: Cement & Cement Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

N/A

Margin

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Fundraise

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Order

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Capex

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0 of 0 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

  • Shree Cement targets growth in cement capacity from 55 million tons to 80 million tons by 2030, indicating a planned volume expansion.
  • The company prefers organic growth to reach the 80 million tons target and will maintain its current growth pace regardless of competitors' faster expansions.
  • Demand for cement in India is expected to grow at 6-8% annually, supported by infrastructure allocations such as INR 10 lakh crores in the Union Budget.
  • Volumes grew by 23% year-on-year in the recent quarter, with sequential volume growth of 8%.
  • Trade sales currently account for around 78%-80%, a trend expected to continue.
  • Premium product sales constitute about 7%, with plans to increase this to 15% over the next 3-4 quarters through marketing and branding efforts.
  • Price realizations increased by about 2% year-on-year, aiding revenue growth alongside volume expansion.

See what Shree Cement Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • The company has raised around INR 2,500 crores just before the pandemic.
  • Post-pandemic, the capital expenditure program was delayed for 2 years due to demand uncertainty.
  • Currently, a very aggressive capex program is underway to reach 80 million tons capacity by 2030.
  • For the next year, the expected total capex is INR 3,300 to INR 3,500 crores.
  • As of December 31, 2022, the company's investment size is INR 8,300 crores (corrected from gross debt).
  • The company currently holds net cash of INR 5,700 crores (not net debt).
  • No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the immediate future.
  • Most of the cash raised earlier is expected to be utilized toward the capex program.
  • If surplus cash remains after 2-3 years, the company may consider special dividends, indicating no immediate plans to raise funds.

See what Shree Cement Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

  • The company has an aggressive capital expenditure (capex) program targeting 80 million tons capacity by 2030, with a focus on organic growth.
  • In the first 9 months of the current fiscal year, about INR 2,200 crores were spent, with an additional INR 700-800 crores expected in the last quarter, totaling around INR 2,900 crores.
  • For the next year, capex is anticipated to be INR 3,300 to INR 3,500 crores.
  • Ongoing projects:
  • - 3 million ton unit in Purulia, West Bengal, near completion (expected by June quarter).
  • - Integrated cement unit at Nawalgarh, Rajasthan, expected by Q3 FY '24-'25 (advanced by one quarter).
  • - Integrated cement unit of 3 million tons in Guntur, Andhra Pradesh, expected by Q2 FY '24-'25 (advanced by one quarter).
  • Investments also include setting up railway sidings across plants to improve logistics and significant investments in digital and IT systems (CRM, SAP) to modernize operations.
  • Renewable energy expansion is planned with 42 megawatts of solar power to be added soon after adding 84 MW in the current year.

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