
Shree Cement Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
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Margin
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0 of 0 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
- Shree Cement targets growth in cement capacity from 55 million tons to 80 million tons by 2030, indicating a planned volume expansion.
- The company prefers organic growth to reach the 80 million tons target and will maintain its current growth pace regardless of competitors' faster expansions.
- Demand for cement in India is expected to grow at 6-8% annually, supported by infrastructure allocations such as INR 10 lakh crores in the Union Budget.
- Volumes grew by 23% year-on-year in the recent quarter, with sequential volume growth of 8%.
- Trade sales currently account for around 78%-80%, a trend expected to continue.
- Premium product sales constitute about 7%, with plans to increase this to 15% over the next 3-4 quarters through marketing and branding efforts.
- Price realizations increased by about 2% year-on-year, aiding revenue growth alongside volume expansion.
See what Shree Cement management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
- The company has raised around INR 2,500 crores just before the pandemic.
- Post-pandemic, the capital expenditure program was delayed for 2 years due to demand uncertainty.
- Currently, a very aggressive capex program is underway to reach 80 million tons capacity by 2030.
- For the next year, the expected total capex is INR 3,300 to INR 3,500 crores.
- As of December 31, 2022, the company's investment size is INR 8,300 crores (corrected from gross debt).
- The company currently holds net cash of INR 5,700 crores (not net debt).
- No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the immediate future.
- Most of the cash raised earlier is expected to be utilized toward the capex program.
- If surplus cash remains after 2-3 years, the company may consider special dividends, indicating no immediate plans to raise funds.
See what Shree Cement management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
- The company has an aggressive capital expenditure (capex) program targeting 80 million tons capacity by 2030, with a focus on organic growth.
- In the first 9 months of the current fiscal year, about INR 2,200 crores were spent, with an additional INR 700-800 crores expected in the last quarter, totaling around INR 2,900 crores.
- For the next year, capex is anticipated to be INR 3,300 to INR 3,500 crores.
- Ongoing projects:
- - 3 million ton unit in Purulia, West Bengal, near completion (expected by June quarter).
- - Integrated cement unit at Nawalgarh, Rajasthan, expected by Q3 FY '24-'25 (advanced by one quarter).
- - Integrated cement unit of 3 million tons in Guntur, Andhra Pradesh, expected by Q2 FY '24-'25 (advanced by one quarter).
- Investments also include setting up railway sidings across plants to improve logistics and significant investments in digital and IT systems (CRM, SAP) to modernize operations.
- Renewable energy expansion is planned with 42 megawatts of solar power to be added soon after adding 84 MW in the current year.
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Margin guidance
- Guidance on full-year pricing and margins is difficult due to volatility in cement and fuel prices; exact EBITDA per tonne targets (e.g., INR 1,200-1,500) remain uncertain and dependent on market conditions.
- Sequential quarterly performance shows improvement; Q3 FY23 EBITDA per ton improved to INR 881 from INR 701 in previous quarter, indicating operational recovery.
- The company targets capacity growth to 80 million tons by 2030 at a steady, organic pace, signaling a long-term volume growth strategy.
- Cost reduction initiatives underway include increasing use of low-cost agricultural waste to raise Thermal Substitution Rate (TSR) from 3% to 15% in 12 months, rail siding investments to reduce freight costs, and renewable energy additions.
- Strong focus on brand building and premium product sales (currently 7%, aiming for 15% in next 3-4 quarters) may enhance margin profile.
- Capital expenditure remains aggressive (INR 3,300-3,500 crore next year) supporting growth, funded mainly from internal accruals.
- Dividend expected to remain stable without special payouts in near term due to capex focus.
Order book
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What Shree Cement's management said in earlier quarters
- Q4 FY26 earnings call analysis →
- Q1 FY27 earnings call analysis →
- Q4 FY25 earnings call analysis →
- Q3 FY26 earnings call analysis →
- Q2 FY25 earnings call →
- Q1 FY25 earnings call →
- Q4 FY24 earnings call →
- Q3 FY24 earnings call →
- Q2 FY24 earnings call →
- Q1 FY24 earnings call →
- Q4 FY23 earnings call →
- Q3 FY23 earnings call →
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