Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd
Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Sona Comstar has received board approval for an enabling resolution to raise up to ₹2400 crores.
- Fundraising is intended to support potential acquisitions and strategic opportunities such as joint ventures and collaborations.
- The company does not currently need much external capital for organic expansion.
- The fundraise may involve equity and/or equity convertible securities/instruments.
- Details of specific transactions remain confidential.
- The company assures that all activities will remain within its defined vision focused on mobility and EPIC mobility.
- No immediate fundraising specifics shared, but the approval positions the company to act when acquisition opportunities materialize.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Sona Comstar has approval to raise up to ₹2400 crores as enabling capital for potential acquisitions and strategic opportunities such as JVs and collaborations.
- The company does not currently need much external capital for organic expansion but anticipates the need if acquisitions or strategic deals materialize.
- Management emphasizes acquisitions focused on mobility technology within their EPIC mobility theme, particularly for technology-driven companies rather than turnarounds.
- Past acquisitions (Comstar and NOVELIC) were done to accelerate capabilities that would take too long to build internally.
- The company prioritizes funding innovations and giving acquired businesses freedom with R&D budgets to fail or succeed, emphasizing long-term value creation.
- No short-term detailed transaction specifics are disclosed due to confidentiality; the capital raise is enabling in nature to be deployed when necessary.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Sona Comstar expects continued growth by adding new products, customers, and increasing share of wallet, independent of underlying industry volume growth.
- BEV (battery electric vehicle) revenue grew 53% YoY, now constituting 33% of total revenue, signaling strong future growth from electrification.
- The EV order book is robust with 27 programs in production and 28 more to ramp up in coming years.
- Growth will be driven more by three-wheelers, electric buses, and light commercial vehicles in India, as two-wheeler EV volumes are disappointing.
- Plug-in hybrids and BEVs currently provide the highest content value, with BEVs expected to dominate by 2035 and beyond.
- Geographic diversification across North America, India, Europe, and Asia supports growth, despite some softness in Europe.
- The company is focused on technology innovation and higher voltage/power solutions (e.g., 350V 40kW motors) to access larger value segments.
- Order book expansion of ₹11 billion last quarter, reaching ₹233 billion total, underpins medium-term revenue visibility.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Sona Comstar expects continued growth driven by electrification, with BEV revenue growing 53% YoY and now constituting 33% of total revenue.
- Operating leverage and lower input costs have expanded adjusted EBITDA margin by 1.2%, indicating improving profitability.
- Profit after tax (adjusted for ESOP cost) grew 29% YoY, supported by higher operating profits.
- The company anticipates an average tax rate of 24-25% going forward, normalizing from lower tax adjustments in the prior quarter.
- Growth is expected from adding new products, customers, and share of wallet, rather than solely industry volume growth.
- Hybrid and plug-in hybrid segments currently yield highest content values but BEVs are viewed as the long-term future.
- Europe shows some demand softness, but strong growth in BEV and diversified global footprint support robust revenue and profit expansion.
- Order book expanded to ₹233 billion, indicating a strong pipeline to support future earnings and EPS growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Net order book expanded to ₹233 billion as of Q1 FY25.
- Added ₹11 billion worth of new orders in the last quarter.
- 27 EV programs currently in production: 12 mature and fully ramped up, 15 in various ramp-up stages.
- An additional 28 EV programs are not yet in production but expected to start this year or in subsequent years.
- The EV portion remains high at 79% of the order book, indicating future business direction.
- New wins include a class-5 electric truck driveline program (increasing order value by ₹6.8 billion) and the first order in sensors/software business (ACAM for electric passenger vehicles).
