Subros Ltd
Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Industrial Products
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Subros has received formal board approval for a new Greenfield project at Kharkhoda, Haryana.
- Planned investment: Rs. 150 crores towards setting up a plant for Hoses, Tubes, and ECM with a capacity of 460,000 to 500,000 units.
- The new plant will focus on sustainability, automation, and digitalization.
- Expected operational commencement: April 2026.
- Funding: Approximately 25% from internal accruals and 75% via bank borrowing, subject to business conditions.
- There is ongoing feasibility work for setting up electric compressor manufacturing in India; estimated investment cost between Rs. 90 to 120 crores.
- Capex decisions on electric compressors are cautious, pending clearer EV market penetration.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Exact revenue growth prediction is difficult due to market uncertainties.
- Capacity expansion aligns with customer requirements, notably Maruti's ramp-up plan.
- New capacities expected to be utilized 70%-80% within 1-2 years of project launch.
- Company anticipates performing slightly better than overall industry growth.
- Business segments like CV, truck, and last-mile connectivity trucks show promising growth.
- New plant with additional 460,000-500,000 capacity planned, operational by April 2026.
- Railways segment to see aggressive double-digit growth over next 2-3 years.
- EV bus aircon penetration expected to improve within 6-8 months.
- Challenges in assuming EV market penetration growth; cautious investment in electric compressor capacity.
- Overall, FY'25 and FY'26 outlook is promising with focus on operational efficiencies and margin improvement.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Revenue growth prediction is challenging due to market uncertainties, but capacity expansion aligns with customer demand, especially Maruti's ramp-up.
- Capacity utilization expected between 70%-80% within 1-2 years post new project launch.
- Company expects to perform slightly better than the overall industry growth.
- EBITDA margins have improved consistently over the last 8-10 quarters and have reached double-digit levels; efforts will continue to sustain and improve margins.
- FY'25 and FY'26 outlook is promising considering current market conditions.
- Profit after tax (PAT) grew 36% in Q2 FY25; EBITDA increased by 13%, with PBT up 16.8%.
- Capacity expansion investment of Rs. 150 crores planned to support growth.
- Focus on operational efficiencies and localization to improve profitability.
- Growth expected from emerging segments like CV aircon, last-mile trucks, and railways over next 2-3 years.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current railway order booking is approximately Rs. 35 to 40 crores.
- Of this, Rs. 10 to 12 crores will be executed in the current financial year; the balance will carry over to the next financial year.
- The company has won new business worth Rs. 120 crores in the recent quarter, with most SOPs planned for FY'26.
- MHCV truck aircon business is expected to generate additional revenues in the range of Rs. 160 to 175 crores per year post regulatory implementation in October 2025.
- The tractor radiator and aircon market is emerging, with growing OEM engagements.
- EV bus aircon orders are in evaluation and prototyping, with ongoing efforts to penetrate further in the next 6 to 8 months.
- The company is watchful of market conditions before committing to large investments, especially in electric compressors and EV-related capacities.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Subros Limited currently has no long-term debt and is managing its financing through internal accruals and working capital limits.
- For the new greenfield project at Kharkhoda (capacity addition of ~460,000 to 500,000 units) with an investment of Rs. 150 crores:
- The funding mix is tentatively planned at 25% internal accruals and 75% bank borrowing.
- However, the final mix will be adjusted based on business situation and requirements.
- No additional public mention of fundraising through equity or other means has been made in the latest call.
- The company is watchful of market conditions and will adjust funding approach accordingly.
