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Sunita Tools LtdQ3 FY24

Sunita Tools Ltd

Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • The company aims to maintain the same high growth rate seen over the past 3 years, targeting around 60-80% CAGR in volume and revenue over the next 3 years.
  • Topline growth is expected to be supported by internal growth (capex, skill enhancement, manufacturing expansion) and acquisitions, including recent ones in Chennai and potential US acquisitions.
  • Expansion plans include a new manufacturing setup in Vasai and increasing market presence in South India.
  • Volume growth is not expected to face challenges due to diversified verticals (each capped at 25% of sales) mitigating industry downturn risks.
  • Current capacity allows revenue potential of approximately ₹80 to 100 crores post expansion, with plans for further capacity increases as demand grows.
  • Aerospace and defense verticals are expected to grow to make up 50% of revenues within 3 years, balancing traditional mould base business.
  • Steel price stability and direct sourcing from mills help margins, supporting sustainable growth.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company aims to maintain a strong growth rate of around 63-68% CAGR over the next 3 years.
  • PAT growth is expected to continue at a similar pace as the last three years.
  • Margins are projected to remain healthy, with PAT levels between 18-23%, maintained through optimized processes and backward integration (steel procurement directly from mills).
  • EPS calculations consider weighted average, including preferential shares.
  • Volume growth is expected to be strong, with capacity expansion targeting revenues of ₹80-100 crores.
  • Quarterly results will be reported from next financial year to improve transparency.
  • The company’s risk mitigation strategy caps maximum revenue from any one vertical at 25%, limiting impact from sector downturns.
  • Acquisitions in aerospace and expansion into new geographies like the USA are expected to drive de-risked growth and higher profits.

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Fundraise plans

No
  • Sunita Tools Ltd. is currently well-capitalized and does not plan to seek additional capital for the time being.
  • Future fundraising through debt or equity will only be considered if there is a very substantial, attractive, or strategic acquisition opportunity.
  • The company has recently paid off its last loan (in August), becoming long-term debt-free.
  • Going forward, the company expects a reduction in bank interest costs, mainly limited to the working capital CC limit.
  • The company is focused on organic growth, capex, and acquisitions but does not foresee immediate fundraising needs unless a major acquisition arises.

Order book

  • The work in progress and inventory stood at around ₹15 crores at the end of H1 FY’25.
  • Orders take about 14 to 21 days to execute from receipt to shipment.
  • There has been a continuous process of order receipts and shipments adding value over time.
  • At the start of FY25, the company had a significant order book, contributing to growth.
  • The cumulative order intake in the half year has been robust with a volume increase of about 38-40%.
  • Despite a drop in steel prices lowering sales value, the volume growth is as expected.
  • Post acquisitions, an additional approximate ₹3 crores topline and ₹1 crore PBT are expected visible in March 2025 numbers.
  • The company is optimistic about sustained order inflows aligned with capacity expansions and new market explorations.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Sunita Tools has identified and paid an advance for a plot of land for future expansion of the Vasai factory.
  • Expansion will require hiring skilled managers, staff, and workers, with accommodations arranged in Vasai.
  • The company signed a Letter of Intent (LOI) to acquire a small mould-based manufacturing company in Chennai to strengthen its presence in South India.
  • Exploring a potential acquisition in the USA aerospace sector to complement and diversify the Indian aerospace division.
  • Several new machines installed recently; four machines arrived mid-September but only partially commissioned, another machine currently at JNPT port awaiting commissioning.
  • Focused on capex for skill enhancement and manufacturing capacity expansion, aiming to boost top-line growth and capacity utilization.
  • Maintaining a cautious, stage-wise growth approach balancing capex, working capital, and skills development.

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