Suraj Estate Developers Ltd

Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Realty

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Suraj Estate Developers Limited recently raised Rs. 343 crores via preferential allotment of equity shares (Rs. 243 crores) and Rs. 100 crores via issuance of convertible share warrants. - In October 2024, Rs. 269 crores were received, including preferential allotment funds and subscription money; the balance from warrants is expected within 18 months. - Funds raised are planned to be used for land acquisitions, working capital, general corporate purposes, and business development, including new BD and land acquisition (~40%). - No explicit mention of future fundraising through debt or additional equity beyond the current raised funds. - Debt position increased due to approval-related costs for upcoming launches, but weighted average cost of debt remains at 13%. - Management did not indicate any imminent new fundraising plans during the call.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Suraj Estate Developers Limited has raised Rs. 343 crores via preferential allotment and convertible share warrants, with Rs. 269 crores received as of October 2024. - Funds will be utilized for land acquisitions, working capital, general corporate purposes, and issuance-related expenses. - Approximately 40% of the fundraise is planned to be spent on business development and land acquisition before March 2025. - This strategic capital deployment aims to expand operations, diversify the product portfolio, and reinforce their position in both residential and commercial real estate sectors. - The company plans to launch seven new projects with a GDV of Rs. 1,150 crores before March 2025, backed by the recent fundraise. - The Bandra project is in planning with initial approvals, targeting a launch between Q2 and Q3 of next year, reflecting ongoing future capital allocation.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Target pre-sales for FY '25 is Rs. 850 crores, reflecting confident booking growth. - Plans to launch seven new projects with a combined GDV of Rs. 1,150 crores before March. - Expect steady growth in sales volume and realizations, with a 14% growth already achieved in a seasonally slower quarter. - Revenue and EBITDA expected to be higher than the previous year, though exact figures are not disclosed. - Ongoing strong demand in value luxury segment and commercial properties. - Confidence in launches pending RERA approvals, especially for commercial projects with GDV of Rs. 450 crores. - Optimism about Mumbai redevelopment potential driving future growth. - Collections grew 90% YoY in Q2 FY '25, indicating strong cash flow. - Overall, poised for robust performance fueled by favorable market conditions and infrastructure developments.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company is optimistic about strong earnings growth in the coming years, driven by substantial business development under favorable terms. - Pre-sales target for FY '25 is Rs. 850 crores, indicating growth in bookings and revenue. - EBITDA and PAT have shown significant growth YoY for H1 FY '25 (EBITDA up 16%, PAT up 97%). - The average realization per square foot has been increasing over recent quarters, supporting higher margins. - Ongoing launch of projects with GDV of Rs. 1,150 crores planned before March 2025 will contribute to future revenues. - Steady cost of debt at 13% WACC helps maintain financial stability. - Delays in RERA approvals may impact the exact timing of launches but projects are well-positioned once approvals are obtained. - Overall positive outlook due to market conditions in Mumbai Metropolitan Region and strategic presence in redevelopment projects.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Ongoing projects have sold 5.39 lakh sq. ft. out of a total 6.09 lakh sq. ft., generating approx. Rs. 1,370 crores with receivables of Rs. 767 crores. - Unsold inventory stands at 2.71 lakh sq. ft. with an estimated GDV of Rs. 395 crores. - Combined receivables from sold and unsold portions total Rs. 1,162 crores, expected to materialize between FY '25 and FY '29. - Upcoming pipeline includes projects with over 9 lakh sq. ft. of carpet area for sale, with approximately 67% in value luxury, 14% in luxury, and 7% in commercial properties. - Estimated GDV for these upcoming 18 projects exceeds Rs. 5,000 crores. - A significant portion of the upcoming project area (around 50% of 8 lakh sq. ft. residential) comes from two projects: Marinagar and Girgaonkarwadi with launches targeted next year and later.