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Surya Roshni LtdQ4 FY26

Surya Roshni Ltd Q4 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 262P/E: 16.6Market Cap: ₹5.3K CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • FY25 volume expected around 8.8-8.9 lakh tons, slightly below earlier 9 lakh tons target due to election year and global crises.
  • FY26 volume targeted at 12 lakh tons (approx. 33% growth from FY25), enabled by ₹500 crores capex in cold rolling, spiral plants, and expansion at Anjar and Hindupur.
  • Over next 3 years, annual volume growth expected to be around 1.5-1.75 lakh tons; 12-15% year-on-year volume growth anticipated due to capacity expansions and new investments.
  • Sales revenue growth is projected in line with volume increase and gross margin improvements, with double-digit percentage growth in lighting division.
  • Exports and high-value products (API pipes, large diameter, DFT pipes) are expected drivers for volume and revenue growth.
  • New domestic wire business to start with ₹100 crores sales in year 1, scaling to ₹300 crores by year 3.
  • EBITDA per ton to improve from ₹5,200 to ₹6,500-₹7,000 by FY27-28, driven mainly by gross margin enhancement.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Revenue growth expected to be double-digit in lighting segment driven by innovation, premiumization, and cost rationalization.
  • Steel pipe volume to grow from ~9 lakh tons in FY25 to 12 lakh tons in FY26; expected to reach 18-19 lakh tons by FY27-28 due to ₹500 crore capex.
  • EBITDA per ton in steel to improve from ₹5,200 currently to ₹6,500-₹7,000 by FY27 primarily through gross margin improvement.
  • Export sales to grow steadily, adding ₹125-₹150 crores annually to export revenue; expected to surpass ₹1,100 crores by FY27.
  • EBITDA to improve significantly to ₹750-₹800 crores by FY27 due to volume growth and margin expansion in steel pipes and strips.
  • Lighting EBITDA margin to sustain double-digit growth, with new ₹25 crore capex in domestic wire business driving additional revenue.
  • Operating leverage expected to be moderate; most margin gains come from gross margin enhancement rather than overhead cost reduction.

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Fundraise plans

  • Currently, Surya Roshni Limited maintains a net cash position of ₹225 crores as of the call date, indicating no immediate need for fundraising.
  • The company has planned a capex of ₹500 crores over the next 2 years focused on capacity expansion and value-added products.
  • Management mentioned maintaining a net cash position going forward, implying no current plans for debt raising.
  • There is no mention of any equity fundraising or new debt issuance in the call transcript.
  • The focus appears to be on utilizing internal accruals and cash surplus for funding growth and capex requirements.

Order book

Yes
  • As per the call, the professional lighting segment has a healthy order book of about ₹150 crores.
  • The spiral pipe plant in Gwalior, started recently, has orders of over 30,000 tons currently in hand.
  • The JJM (Jal Jeevan Mission) project extension till 2028 provides ongoing demand with around 1 lakh tons of large diameter pipes supplied in the last 1.5-2 years.
  • The company expects tendering activity to increase post-election in the steel pipe segment, particularly in the ERW and Spiral pipe segments mainly for oil and gas infrastructure.
  • Demand is expected to be strong in cross-country large pipes for gas distribution and smaller pipes for house distribution due to government initiatives.
  • Order inflow in the API pipe and export segments (including the Canadian and Saudi markets) is also expected to contribute to volume growth.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Approved ₹25 crore capex for domestic wire business at Gwalior facility, entering a ₹25,000 crore market; expected business: ₹100 crore (1st year), ₹200 crore (2nd year), ₹300 crore (3rd year).
  • ₹500 crore capex plan over next 2-3 years focused on steel pipe & strips, increasing capacity from 12 lakh tons to around 18-19 lakh tons.
  • Investments in cold rolling mill (~₹200 crore completed), spiral plant in Gwalior (60,000 tons p.a.), Anjar, Hindupur expansions.
  • Hindupur capex increased from ₹75 crore to ₹125 crore for large diameter, DFT, and coated pipes (200,000 tons p.a. expansion).
  • Investment in Direct Forming Technology (DFT) plants across facilities to improve manufacturing cost.
  • Dropped Gas Pipe (GP) project; shifting to large dia pipes in Hindupur with tie-ups for GP coil supply.
  • Focus on value-added products, premium categories, exports (Middle East, Canada), and cost efficiencies through technology and operations.

How does Surya Roshni Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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1Surya Roshni Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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