Talbros Automotive Components Ltd
Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No major debt or equity fundraising is planned currently.
- The company has Rs. 65 crores in fixed deposits from the Rs. 80 crore received through the stake sale of Nippon, which is earning about 8% interest.
- This money will be utilized for normal operations and potential investments only if large projects mature.
- For any significant CAPEX (around Rs. 20-30 crore), the company will wait for order finalization before deploying funds.
- There is no indication of immediate large-scale debt raising or equity dilution during the coming quarters.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Upcoming CAPEX depends on orders; currently working on some requiring Rs. 20 to Rs. 30 crore, not major investments like Rs. 100 crore (Page 13).
- Rs. 65 crore from stake sale proceeds is parked in fixed deposits earning ~8% interest; this will be utilized for potential big projects, technical assistance, or joint ventures (Page 12).
- Capital investments include new technology adoption, capacity expansion, and product portfolio diversification to capitalize on market opportunities (Page 4).
- New plant at Pune has started production with full machine installations expected by September; commercial volumes to grow from October, targeting Rs. 3 to 5 crore monthly (Page 8).
- The company is actively investing in EV-related products and technology via joint ventures and partnerships, aiming for a 12% EV revenue contribution in the future (Pages 6, 10).
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Company anticipates sustained growth prospects in the automotive industry with strong order inflows from leading OEMs.
- Expects to increase exports from current 27% to over 30% in the next three years.
- Focus on technology, capacity expansion, diversification, and new product lines supports growth.
- Heat shield division expected to grow by +15% in the current financial year; heat shield sales around Rs. 50-60 crore.
- Marugo Rubber projected growth of 15% this year with double-digit EBITDA going forward.
- EV segment contribution targeted to grow from current 3.3% to 12% of total revenue, with new orders expected.
- Commercial vehicle demand is subdued but anticipated to pick up post Q2 FY25, supporting volume growth.
- New order book around Rs. 2000 crores spread over 5-7 years, with ~40% expected commercialization this year.
- Overall revenue growth seen at 13% YoY in Q1 FY25; EBITDA growth at 24% YoY.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company anticipates sustained margins around 16% to 16.5% EBITDA going forward.
- EBITDA for JVs like Marelli Talbros Chassis Systems is expected to improve, targeting 13-14% over the next 3 years.
- Export sales are expected to grow from 27% to over 30% of total turnover in the next three years.
- EV segment contribution is targeted to increase from 3.3% currently to 12% of total revenue over time, backed by strong order book.
- New orders worth Rs. 1000+ crores are expected to be commercialized progressively over the next 5-7 years, supporting revenue growth.
- The company projects a growth of approximately Rs. 150 crore per annum from new orders.
- Improved utilization and new product launches are likely to drive revenue and margin growth.
- Profit after tax (PAT) grew by 18% YoY in Q1 FY25, indicating strong operating leverage.
Overall, Talbros expects a positive earnings growth trajectory supported by margin sustainability, new orders, export expansion, and EV segment growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The full order book stands at approximately Rs. 2000 crores, spread over 5 to 7 years.
- Orders are across various segments, product lines, and divisions.
- Execution is phased: about 10% was commercialized last year, around 40% expected this year, and the balance in subsequent years.
- Orders are partially new and some are incremental; substantial orders are announced collectively when the value becomes significant.
- Annual execution target is roughly Rs. 150 crore per annum, expected to come steadily.
- Some vehicle launches and order commercializations are delayed by 3 to 6 months.
- The company has received multi-year orders worth Rs. 1000 crores from a leading European OEM via their JV Marelli Talbros Chassis Systems.
- Orders continue to come in, and order inflow is strong, aiding growth and market expansion.
