Tata Power Company Ltd
Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Power
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: No
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Tata Power has incurred large capex and its net debt has increased by INR 4,300 crores to INR 42,000 crores.
- The company maintains a steady balance sheet with net debt to EBITDA less than 3x and net debt to equity less than 1.1x.
- Credit rating has been upgraded from AA+ to AA+ stable by ICRA and CARE, which should help reduce financing costs and improve profitability.
- No explicit mention of any new fundraising plans through debt or equity in the provided text.
- Ongoing capex of INR 20,000 crores for FY includes 55-60% for renewables, 30% for transmission & distribution, and 10-15% for thermal and new investments.
- The company is focusing on calibrated financial management while executing large projects with existing resources.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Tata Power has an ambitious capex plan of INR 20,000 crores for the year, on track for implementation.
- About 55%-60% of this capex will go towards renewables, including renewable manufacturing plants and utility-scale projects.
- Around 30% will be allocated to transmission and distribution projects, including ongoing distribution in Delhi and Odisha.
- Approximately 10%-15% will be invested in thermal operations, pumped hydro, and the Bhutan hydro project.
- The Bhutan hydro project requires an investment of INR 6,900 crores; Tata Power holds 40% equity and will handle sales and operations.
- The 4 GW cell and module manufacturing plant is commissioned and stabilizing, with further capacity ramp-up expected.
- Transmission business capex is ongoing, with plans to expand aggressive bids in renewables and transmission.
- Pumped storage projects are progressing with approvals nearly in place, and govt. policy support is expected for these.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Tata Power expects robust growth fueled by strong renewable capacity additions:
- 3 GW commissioning in FY25 and 4 GW in FY26, including both own and third-party projects.
- Currently, 8 GW capacity under implementation (5 GW own, 3 GW third-party EPC).
- Significant capex of INR 20,000 crores planned for the year:
- ~55-60% towards renewables (manufacturing + utility scale projects).
- ~30% towards Transmission & Distribution (including ongoing projects in Delhi and Odisha).
- 10-15% towards thermal and pumped hydro, including the Bhutan project.
- Rooftop solar business showing a 10x increase in inquiries, expected meaningful revenue contribution from Q3/Q4 FY25.
- Focus on complex, hybrid, and FDRE projects with storage, targeting enterprise and industrial clients.
- Transmission capacity to grow from FY27 onwards to support expanding renewable projects.
- Continued market leadership in rooftop solar with 50-60% market share for quality products.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Tata Power expects strong growth, supported by 19 consecutive quarters of capacity increases.
- The company has an aggressive capex plan of INR 20,000 crores for FY '25, with ~55-60% allocated to renewables and manufacturing and 30% to transmission & distribution.
- Renewable projects under implementation total ~8 GW (5 GW own, 3 GW third-party), with >3 GW commissioning in FY '25 and >4 GW in FY '26.
- Hybrid and complex projects with storage will drive future growth post FY '27 as new transmission lines become available.
- Improved profitability expected from renewable and transmission projects; roofing solar segment showing a 10x order uptick.
- The Delhi Distribution business showed a significant profit jump aided by a onetime tariff order.
- Credit rating upgrades (AA+ stable) are expected to reduce financing costs, enhancing profitability.
- Earnings growth will be sustained by steady project execution, increased renewable capacity, and new business avenues like SMRs and pumped storage.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Tata Power currently has about 8 GW of renewable projects under implementation: 5 GW own projects and 3 GW third-party EPC projects.
- Fully tied-up pipeline for FY '25 and '26, expecting to implement over 3 GW in FY '25 and 4 GW in FY '26.
- Orderbook for utility-scale solar EPC has not grown quarter-on-quarter from March 2024 as focus remains on completing ongoing projects.
- New bidding for projects will commence after the majority of ongoing projects are implemented.
- Transmission projects are proceeding well; recently won a 765 kV intra-state transmission project in Odisha to complete in 24 months.
- Module manufacturing capacity of 4 GW is ramping up, with stabilization expected by Q3 FY '25.
- Capricorn orders for solar pumped business are currently not active; no fresh orders in FY '24 or Q1 FY '25.
- Large capex of INR 20,000 crores planned for FY '25 divided across renewables (55%-60%), transmission & distribution (30%), and thermal plus pumped hydro & Bhutan project (10%-15%).
