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Torrent Power LtdQ1 FY26

Torrent Power Ltd Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 1,466P/E: 27.7Market Cap: ₹87.5K CrSector: Power

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Torrent Power is in an investment phase with strong capex plans across renewables, coal, and pump storage, indicating growth potential.
  • Renewable capacity commissioning expected at 1.2 to 1.4 GW in the next year, contributing to volume growth.
  • Distribution capex expected around INR 2,000 crores annually for next 4-5 years, supporting network expansion and sales growth.
  • Gas-based power plants have tied up 50% long-term PPAs providing fixed-cost recovery and revenue stability.
  • Merchant capacities leveraged for short-term pricing opportunities, expected to benefit once LNG price volatility subsides.
  • Power demand in India grows at approximately 6% CAGR historically, expected to continue, supporting volume growth.
  • Thermal and renewable projects are expected to contribute new capacities by FY31-FY32, further boosting revenues.
  • Comfortable leverage and strong balance sheet provide room for new investments enhancing future growth.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Adjusted PBT for Q4 FY26 increased by 16% YoY to INR718 crores (excluding one-offs), indicating earnings growth potential.
  • Return on Equity (ROE) regime has shifted to ROCE with performance-based incentives, potentially increasing effective ROE from 14% to around 15% or higher.
  • Transmission & distribution segment expected to sustain stable returns aided by regulatory carrying costs and operational efficiencies.
  • Growth in renewable segment capex (INR6,500 crores in FY26, expected to be higher in FY27) signals expansion and future earnings growth.
  • Thermal and renewable capacity additions through FY31-FY32, with commissioning of 1.2-1.4 GW renewables next year.
  • Merchant gas-based plants profits expected to improve after LNG price stabilization.
  • Overall strong balance sheet and controlled leverage support incremental investments and earnings growth.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Torrent Power has a strong, under-leveraged balance sheet with ample room for further investment, indicating capacity for new fundraising if needed.
  • For the Nabha Power acquisition (~INR6,900 crore enterprise value), the split is roughly INR3,400 crore debt and balance equity, with plans to raise around INR3,500 to INR4,000 crore for project funding.
  • Management mentioned the power sector is in an investment phase with comfortable leverage ratios and room to take on more projects through debt if they meet return thresholds.
  • Capex for FY27 is expected to be significantly higher than FY26, implying potential financing requirements.
  • No explicit mention of an immediate equity raise, but the company remains open to leveraging balance sheet capacity for future investment opportunities.

Order book

  • Renewable projects of 4 gigawatts are currently under implementation.
  • Transmission project of Solapur is also under implementation.
  • Further details of the pipeline projects are summarized in the latest investor presentation available on Torrent Power's website.
  • The company has announced a capex plan including:
  • - INR 28,000 crores for 4 GW of Renewable capacity.
  • - INR 23,000 crores for 1.6 GW Coal capacity.
  • - INR 14,000 crores for 3 GW Pump Storage capacity.
  • Distribution capex is expected to continue at about INR 2,000 crores annually over the next 4-5 years.
  • Investment plans indicate a total capex of roughly INR 80,000 crores over 5 years.
  • The company is actively looking at new thermal bidding opportunities in a couple of states.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Torrent Power has a robust capex plan focused on renewable, coal, and pumped storage projects spanning the next 5 years.
  • Renewable projects: 4 GW capacity with a capex of INR 28,000 crores.
  • Coal-based projects: 1.6 GW capacity with a capex of approximately INR 23,000 crores.
  • Pumped Storage Hydro (PSP): 3 GW capacity with planned capex of INR 14,000 crores.
  • Ongoing annual distribution capex around INR 1,500 - 2,000 crores for 4-5 years.
  • Total capex over 5 years approximates INR 80,000 crores (INR 15,000-20,000 crores annually).
  • Active pursuit of thermal bidding opportunities in states.
  • Current projects mainly in construction phase with key milestones achieved (e.g., environmental clearances, awards for packages).
  • Nabha Power acquisition involved around INR 6,800 crores enterprise value with planned equity raising for funding.
  • The balanced portfolio and strong balance sheet ensure capacity for incremental investments without stressing leverage.

How does Torrent Power Ltd rank vs peers in Power?

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