Transformers & Rectifiers India Ltd

Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Electrical Equipment

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 1orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company raised Rs. 120 crore through a preferential issue (equity) in October 2023, providing capital support for smooth operations. - There is no explicit mention of any new or planned fundraising through debt or equity beyond this preferential issue. - The company has fund-based limits of Rs. 163 crore, currently almost 100% utilized, and non-fund based limits around Rs. 650 crore, mainly for bank guarantees and raw material procurement. - CAPEX plan for the next financial year is Rs. 50-60 crore, mainly for IDT and Green transformers, but no mention of raising additional funds specifically for CAPEX. - Management emphasized using the current funds and expects the working capital situation to improve with payments from GETCO. - No clear declaration of future fundraising activities was made during the call.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Limited has a planned CAPEX of Rs. 50 crore to Rs. 60 crore in the next financial year. - The CAPEX will mainly focus on the IDT (Induced Draft Transformer) and Green transformer segments. - There is no detailed evaluation yet for larger CAPEX that would be required to increase revenue from current capacity levels (~Rs. 2,500 crore) to Rs. 5,000 crore. - The company is taking a step-by-step approach to capacity expansion and first aims to achieve initial milestones before planning significant further investments.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company anticipates reasonable growth in order inflow, supported by a strong industry demand across sectors like Railways, Renewables, Green Energy, and Power. - The order book as of September 30, 2023, stands at Rs. 2,145 crore with expectations to grow to around Rs. 2,500 crore by the end of the financial year. - The management is targeting revenue of approximately Rs. 1,400 crore for the current year, with hopes to achieve Rs. 1,000 crore in the next two quarters. - Export orders under negotiation stand at around Rs. 994 crore, aiming to increase export presence, targeting 20%-25% of the order book from export markets in the next two years. - Current capacity can support a top line of up to Rs. 2,500 crore without major CAPEX; planned CAPEX of Rs. 50-60 crore next year focuses on new transformer segments. - The company is optimistic on participation in growth driven by infrastructure development, renewable energy expansion, and export opportunities.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company expects improved EBITDA margins going forward, with double-digit margins targeted this year and operational leverage contributing to growth. - Margins are anticipated to improve due to better raw material cost factors, higher-margin export orders, and a shift in order mix favoring central and industrial utilities over low-margin state utilities. - Substantial reduction in finance costs is expected in H2FY24, aiding profitability, with FY25 finance cost estimated between Rs 30-40 crore. - The order book is strong at Rs 2,145 crore, with expected order inflows of around Rs 2,500 crore by year-end, including 20-25% export share with higher margins. - Revenue guidance for FY24 is around Rs 1,400 crore with growth expected in H2, led by dispatch of pending orders and easing working capital constraints. - Expansion plans include Rs 50-60 crore CAPEX for IDT and green transformers to support future growth. - Overall, earnings and operating profits are expected to grow meaningfully driven by margin improvement, export growth, and better working capital.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- As of September 30, 2023, the unexecuted order book stands at Rs. 2,145 crore, with delivery expected over the next 18-20 months. - Order book composition: 34% central utilities, 11% state utilities, 40% industrial customers, 9% renewables, and 6% exports. - The company is targeting around Rs. 2,500 crores in total order book by the end of FY24. - Domestic market pipeline: Rs. 2,741 crore worth of tenders and inquiries under negotiation or bidding. - Export pipeline: Rs. 994 crore of orders under various negotiation stages. - Recent order inflow in last two quarters is about Rs. 700 crore added to the unexecuted order book. - The company expects sizable orders from exports, including a recent inquiry for approx Rs. 800 crore from an African country. - Expects export orders to contribute 20-25% of the order book within next two years.