TVS Motor Company Ltd

Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Automobiles

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- TVS Motors plans to raise funds through Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) as mandated by SEBI, which requires 25% of incremental borrowings to be via capital market funding. - The actual quantum of NCD funding will depend on market conditions and company requirements. - There is no specific mention of imminent equity fundraising or IPO plans for TVS Credit Services; IPO discussions have not occurred at the Board level yet. - Investment run-rate is around INR 2,000 crores annually, including areas like Norton product launches, e-bike ventures, and digital initiatives, but this is for operational and growth investments, not necessarily fundraising. - No clear timeline is provided for new fundraising through equity or debt beyond the current NCD plans.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- TVS Motors plans capex of approximately INR 1,600 to INR 1,700 crores for FY 2026, mainly toward new products. - Annual investment run rate around INR 2,000 to 2,200 crores expected to continue for the next 3 to 5 years. - Investments are allocated across multiple segments including Norton, e-bikes, electric vehicles, software, electronics, digital initiatives, and marketing/brand-building. - Continuing product launches (e.g., Norton bikes) will require investments in manufacturing, product development, and marketing. - Strategic investments include increasing stake in TVS Supply Chain (expected to reach 6-7%) and holdings in entities such as Norton, TVS Digital, Celerity, Killwatt, Zapata, and ION Mobility. - Focus on building supply chain resilience with initiatives on HRE-free, ferrite-based, and magnet-free alternatives for EVs. - No specific IPO plans yet for TVS Credit Services, though the company is performing well.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- TVS Motors expects to continue growing ahead of the industry in both domestic and international markets for ICE and EV segments. - Q2 is anticipated for strong growth led by the festive season. - Domestic ICE sales saw an 8% growth in Q1; international two-wheeler sales grew by 40%, outperforming industry growth. - EV two-wheeler sales grew by 35% in Q1, indicating positive growth momentum despite short-term challenges. - Three-wheeler sales grew by 46% in Q1. - Rural demand is expected to improve in Q2 with positive monsoon and irrigation conditions. - Scooterization trend continues in urban and rural areas, supporting volume growth. - International markets like Africa and LATAM show recovery and growth potential. - TVS plans to leverage strong product ranges, premiumization, and new launches including Norton bikes and EV models to sustain growth. - Overall, confident in growing revenue and volumes with continuous EBITDA improvement.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- TVS Motors reported strong Q1 FY26 with revenue of INR10,081 crores (+20%), operating EBITDA of INR1,263 crores (+32%), and profit growth of 35%. - Operating EBITDA margin improved to 12.5%, up 100bps from last year. - Management confident of continuing to grow ahead of the industry in domestic ICE, EV, and three-wheelers. - Focus on premiumization, sustained material cost reduction, and scaling benefits expected to support margin expansion. - Ongoing investments (~INR2,000 crores annually) in new technology, EV, and Norton brand aimed at long-term growth. - Expect gradual recovery and profitability in e-bike ventures. - Export markets like Africa are stabilizing and expected to contribute to growth. - Management remains focused on product innovation and customer delight for sustained top-line and margin growth. - Overall, TVS Motors is confident of continuous top-line growth, margin improvement, and EBITDA expansion going forward.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

The transcript provided does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for TVS Motors Limited. However, some related insights include: - TVS Motors reported strong sales growth with a 17% volume increase and 20% revenue growth in Q1 FY'26. - Electric two-wheeler sales grew by 35% to 70,000 units, and three-wheelers grew by 46% to 45,000 units. - Supply chain issues, particularly with rare earth magnets, have caused short-term setbacks impacting production. - The company is working on alternatives to improve resilience in supply. - Capacity is reportedly not a bottleneck, with supply chain lead times around 12 weeks enabling capacity expansions if needed. - Market demand, including rural and export markets (like Africa), is expected to strengthen in upcoming quarters. - The company maintains a systematic product launch and investment plan, expected to support steady order inflows. No specific quantitative order book or pending orders details provided.