Ugro Capital Ltd

Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Finance

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- For FY24, U GRO Capital does not plan to raise any new equity; the INR 340 crores raised recently (in April-May) will be the only equity for the year. - The company plans to raise approximately INR 2,500 crores of fresh debt during FY24 to fund balance sheet growth. - Capital adequacy stood at around 20% as of March 31, 2023, which is sufficient for the year's growth capital requirement. - A potential next round of equity is planned around mid-2024 for growth capital. - The company aims to maintain capital adequacy above current levels throughout FY24. - They emphasize relying on debt for growth capital this year while equity raises will happen next year as they move up the financing ladder.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- For FY24, U GRO Capital is not planning any further equity raise; the INR 340 crores raised recently (April-May) will be the only equity infusion in the year. - The company plans fresh debt raising of about INR 2,500 crores to fund balance sheet growth. - They have built upfront capacity, including tech and people infrastructure, designed for sizable organizational growth. - Plan includes expanding microenterprise branches by around 20 in FY24, which are low-cost branches, maintaining flat opex. - The company is focused on building a generational institution with sustained capital adequacy (~20%) to support growth without immediate capital stress. - No explicit callout of large-scale strategic acquisitions or capital-intensive investments currently, emphasis is on scaling organically through disbursement and AUM growth backed by existing capital and debt.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- UGRO Capital aims to achieve an AUM of INR 10,000 crores in FY24, up from INR 6,000+ crores in FY23. - Disbursements planned around INR 6,400 crores in FY24, nearly doubling from last year’s INR 7,200 crores gross disbursement (growth continuation). - Long-term aspirational AUM target of INR 20,000+ crores by FY25 remains intact despite minor shortfalls in the course. - The company plans to steadily increase off-book AUM to 50% by 2025, currently around 40%. - Growth driven by scaling Lending-as-a-Service model, expanding direct-to-customer channels, and leveraging technology like GRO Score 3.0. - Target ROA of 3.1% and ROE of about 10% in FY24, moving towards high double-digit ROE by end of 2025. - Branch expansion to about 250 across India planned over 24-30 months, focusing on micro enterprise loans. - Capital infusion and robust tech infrastructure support aggressive growth strategy and scaling.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- UGRO Capital reported a fourfold increase in Profit Before Tax (PBT) from INR 20 crores in FY22 to INR 83 crores in FY23. - Profit After Tax (PAT) rose from INR 14 crores to INR 39 crores, or INR 60 crores adjusted for deferred tax asset write-off. - The company expects to achieve double-digit Return on Equity (ROE) in FY24, aiming for high double-digit ROE by FY25. - They anticipate bottom-line performance to grow 2.5x to 3x from the current INR 84 crore level as AUM approaches INR 10,000 crores. - Cost-to-income ratio targets a reduction to around 47% by FY25, supporting improved earnings efficiency. - With stable borrowing costs and planned capital raise in mid-next year, UGRO is positioned for sustained profit growth aligned with AUM expansion. - Earnings growth driven by scalability, robust underwriting, and cost control as branches mature and AUM increases.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

The transcript from the provided pages does not explicitly mention current or expected order book or pending orders. However, relevant insights related to business growth and demand include: - There was more demand than the QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement) size decided, indicating strong investor interest and potential business growth. - The management noted a robust pipeline in infrastructure lending with disbursements close to INR 600 crores in March and a full-year disbursement plan of INR 6,400 crores. - Expectation to achieve an AUM (Assets Under Management) of INR 10,000 crores for FY24. - Continued confidence in significant growth ahead, expecting potentially a 10-fold increase in some market segments in the next 2-3 years. - The company is expanding off-book lending with a goal of 50% off-book and 50% on-book AUM by 2025, indicating expanding business scope. No specific figures for order book or pending orders are provided.