Vedanta LtdQ3 FY23

Vedanta Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹234.55P/E: 8.3Market Cap: ₹91.5K CrSector: Diversified Metals

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Aluminum demand is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4%-5% globally from a primary demand of 70 million tons in CY'22.
  • India showed strong aluminum demand growth of 17% YoY in the past nine months, with demand rising from 3.9 million tons last year to an expected 4.5 million tons this year.
  • Expansion plans for aluminum capacity in India include increasing from 2.3 MTPA to 2.8 MTPA, and eventually up to 3 MTPA.
  • Zinc India and Zinc International operations are steady; Zinc India achieved best-ever production in nine months.
  • Coal production and linkage improvements will help drive cost reductions and operational efficiencies, supporting volume growth.
  • Oil & Gas volumes increased slightly by 3% QoQ; exploration wells added to production.
  • Overall, Vedanta targets robust volume growth supported by strong domestic demand and operational expansions across metals and energy segments.

See what Vedanta Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Vedanta is actively managing its debt maturity, with about $2.1 billion requirement for Q1 FY24.
  • Plans include upsizing Oaktree facility by $750 million and securing around $0.5 billion from banks (PSUs and multinational).
  • They are in advanced talks to close these financings within two weeks from the call (January 2023).
  • Additional cash flow from dividends and brand fee payments are expected to cover remaining needs.
  • There is no mention of new equity fundraising during the call.
  • Vedanta's capital allocation policy prioritizes deleveraging both Vedanta Limited and Vedanta Resources, funding CAPEX, and paying dividends.
  • The company maintains a comfortable net debt-to-EBITDA ratio (~0.96) and a strong balance sheet with cash reserves of approximately $2.8 billion.
  • No inter-corporate loans (ICD) are planned.
  • Overall, the focus is on managing debt through refinancing and cash flows rather than fresh debt or equity raises.

See what Vedanta Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Vedanta's alumina refinery expansion is underway: Train-I (1.5 million ton) nearing mechanical completion and expected to ramp up fully in 1-2 quarters; Train-II aimed for mechanical completion by mid next year and full ramp-up by end of next year, totaling 3 million tons capacity. (Page 11)
  • Semiconductor business is currently not under Vedanta's ambit; any future decisions and capex related to this will be discussed when relevant. (Page 12)
  • Capital allocation from proceeds (~$2.4 billion upfront plus $0.5 billion later) will be guided by company policy focusing on:
  • - Funding growth and sustaining CAPEX,
  • - Dividend payments,
  • - Deleveraging Vedanta Limited (VEDL) and Vedanta Resources Limited (VRL). (Pages 7, 11)
  • Power projects: Planned 4 GW renewable capacity in pipeline this quarter aimed to reduce carbon footprint by 15% in 2 years, contributing toward ESG targets. (Page 12)
  • Hindustan Zinc acquisitions (e.g., Meenakshi asset) at attractive valuations form part of strategic investments. (Page 12)

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