ACME Solar Hold.Q2 FY25

ACME Solar Hold. Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 402P/E: 47.8Market Cap: ₹28.4K CrSector: Power

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • The company has approximately 4.2 GW of capacity under construction with connectivity tied up for all projects, enabling commissioning aligned with substation availability, mostly by FY27.
  • Recent energization of a 1,200 MW plant in October increased capacity significantly, with daily revenue around INR1.5 crore and expected to grow as full operations commence.
  • They expect to add another 450 MW in the next quarter and potentially 900 MW more if connectivity enables early commissioning.
  • Growth is modulated based on capex availability, mid-teen return targets, and sustainable debt levels; bidding selectively with a bias towards consolidation.
  • Seasonality affects quarterly revenues (monsoon impact), but generation efficiency is improving due to operational enhancements like robotic cleaning.
  • Tariffs are sustainable with declining module costs, and new projects are coming in at INR2.44 per unit or competitive rates.
  • Overall, revenue growth is expected from operational ramp-up of new plants, efficient execution, and selective bidding strategy.

See what ACME Solar Hold. management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • ACME Solar has tied up around INR14,000 crores of greenfield debt for 4.2 GW under construction from lenders like PFC, REC, SBI, and IREDA.
  • An additional INR20,000 crores of financing is anticipated, timed with project disbursements to minimize upfront fees.
  • The company plans to use IPO proceeds to repay INR1,800-2,000 crores of debt, improving financial metrics and enabling further capex.
  • No immediate plan to raise new equity is indicated; capex costs are trending down, reducing the need for equity dilution.
  • Refinancing is ongoing to extend loan tenor and reduce interest rates, with recent refinancing rates around 8.7%-8.9% expected to hold at AA rating.
  • Growth will be calibrated based on mid-teen IRR targets and sustainable debt-to-EBITDA ratios.
  • InvIT fundraising is not planned currently; the company is focused on consolidating assets rather than monetizing them now.

See what ACME Solar Hold. management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Current capex for the 1200 MW plant is around INR 4,200 to 4,400 crores, with provisions included (Page 12).
  • Total capex planned for upcoming projects is around INR 40,000 crores, funded approximately 75% by debt and 25% by equity (Pages 11, 12).
  • The company is gearing for commissioning 4.2 GW of capacity under construction, aligned with substation connectivity timelines mostly by FY2027 (Pages 7, 10).
  • Capex is on a downturn due to declining costs of domestic solar modules, batteries, and related technology (Pages 17-18).
  • Internal cash flows, debt refinancing, and IPO proceeds are key funding sources; equity dilution is not expected imminently (Pages 6, 8).
  • InvIT (Infrastructure Investment Trust) structure considered for semi-monetization in future, but no decision made yet (Pages 17-18).
  • Strategic focus remains on consolidating assets rather than aggressive asset monetization (Page 17-18).

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Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Revenue for H1 FY25 increased by 5.5% YoY, with EBITDA growth of 4.8% YoY, indicating steady growth.
  • Cash PAT for H1 FY25 rose 10.6% YoY to INR152 crores, reflecting improving profitability.
  • EBITDA margins remain healthy and consistent with operational efficiencies like robotic cleaning improving capacity utilization factor (CUF) from 23.3% to 24.6%.
  • EPC business showing robust margins around 14%-16%, a key profit driver.
  • Under-construction capacity of 4.2 GW and commissioning of large plants (e.g., 1,200 MW synchronized recently) expected to boost revenue and profits over next 1-2 years.
  • Mid-teen IRR targeted for new bids, providing solid return benchmarks for growth.
  • Refinancing opportunities and IPO proceeds will help reduce costs and improve financial performance.
  • Overall, the company plans disciplined capex with growth calibrated to maintain mid-teen returns and sustainable leverage, supporting future operating earnings and EPS growth.

Order book

Yes
  • ACME Solar Holdings has around 4.2 GW of capacity under construction.
  • Total portfolio including operational and pipeline stands at approximately 6.7 GW.
  • The company has won 1,350 MW of new projects recently.
  • Around 2.5 GW of capacity is already operational.
  • The overall capex for the entire portfolio foreseen is roughly INR 40,000 crores.
  • INR 14,000 crores of greenfield debt financing has been tied up for the 4.2 GW under construction.
  • Further INR 20,000 crores financing is required as per current capex schedules.
  • The company is modulating new bids and focusing on consolidating existing projects rather than aggressive new wins.
  • Certain FDRE projects (570 MW SJVN, 380 MW SECI, 350 MW SECI solar+battery, 680 MW NHPC) have pending PPAs to be signed, expected within 1-2 months.
  • PPAs for some portions (190 MW and 150 MW) have already been signed.

How does ACME Solar Hold. rank vs peers in Power?

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How does ACME Solar Hold. rank in Power?

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