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Amara Raja Energy & Mobility LtdQ4 FY27

Amara Raja Energy & Mobility Ltd Q4 FY27 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 835P/E: 20.0Market Cap: ₹15.1K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • Domestic market expected to grow at least 1 percentage point ahead, with stable 5-6% industry growth.
  • OEM business showing strong growth (~25% this quarter), aftermarket growth to reflect OEM growth in about 3 years.
  • Export business targeted to grow at 10-15% CAGR, aiding overall margin improvement.
  • Telecom lead acid volumes expected to decline due to lithium shift; telecom now less than 5% of revenue.
  • 2-wheeler and 4-wheeler segments showing flat to modest growth, with some recent base effects.
  • New Energy (lithium-ion) and battery energy storage (BESS) segments expected to grow, with 5 GWh capacity operational by FY27 and market size forecasted around 30 GWh in 4-5 years.
  • Focus on improving capacity throughput without large capex to increase sales volumes.
  • Lithium cell manufacturing to be considered once scale and demand justify capital investment.

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • The company aims to improve EPS over time despite current margin headwinds caused by increased raw material costs (lead, alloys, acid).
  • Price increases (e.g., 2% hike in January) are implemented to mitigate cost pressures.
  • Focus on growing at least a percentage point ahead of the domestic market growth (~5-6%).
  • Export business growth projected at 10-15% CAGR could enhance overall margins.
  • Operational efficiencies being improved without significant additional capex to boost capacity and sales.
  • Lithium-ion and new energy business investments (~INR1,400 crores infused) expected to build future profitability.
  • Battery recycling plant and technological improvements expected to improve margins gradually.
  • No immediate aggressive double-digit EPS growth expected; longer-term EPS improvement is anticipated as costs stabilize and new business segments scale up.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity.
  • It does note significant ongoing investments, including around INR 950 crores spent year-to-date on capex between lead acid and new energy businesses.
  • INR 200 crores was infused into Amara Raja Advanced Cell Technologies in Q3, bringing total investment in the lithium subsidiary to INR 1,400 crores.
  • The company is investing approximately INR 280 crores towards a new BESS (Battery Energy Storage System) plant expected operational by end of FY '27.
  • No mention was made of raising funds via debt or equity in the call or letter; rather, the focus is on internal investments and growth capex funded presumably from operations or internal accruals.

Order book

  • The company is focusing on Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) with an expected market growth to about 30 gigawatt hours in 4-5 years.
  • Multiple tenders for BESS are being floated, indicating evolving and growing demand.
  • The current supply in BESS is less than 1 gigawatt hour, with gradual ramp-up expected.
  • There's no specific mention of exact current orderbook size or pending orders volume.
  • Company plans a 5 gigawatt hour capacity for BESS, targeting around 15% market share.
  • BESS demand driven by solar power storage needs and government mandates for domestic content.
  • For telecom lithium-ion cells, current demand is insufficient (telecom cell demand under 3 gigawatt hours), causing delay in in-house cell manufacturing investment.
  • Overall, orders and capacity utilization are growing gradually, with multiple tenders indicating a positive order pipeline.

Capex plans

Yes
  • INR 280 crores planned capex for grid and commercial/industrial energy storage solutions (BESS), plant operational by end of FY '27.
  • INR 200 crores infused in Q3 into Amara Raja Advanced Cell Technologies (lithium subsidiary), total lithium investment now INR 1,400 crores.
  • YTD December capex around INR 950 crores: INR 600 crores towards lead acid business, INR 300 crores towards New Energy business.
  • Anticipated full-year lead acid capex around INR 750 to 800 crores for FY '27.
  • Future investments focused on lithium-ion cell manufacturing depend on achieving sufficient scale; capital-intensive with careful timing based on demand.
  • Plans for capacity expansion in lithium-ion cells (LFP chemistry) for BESS and other applications, with potential cell factory development over time.
  • Battery recycling plant operations starting Q4 FY '26, aiding margin improvements and cost mitigation.

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1Amara Raja Energy & Mobility Ltd
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