Apollo Micro Systems LtdQ2 FY26

Apollo Micro Systems Ltd Q2 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 390P/E: 131.3Market Cap: ₹14.8K CrSector: Aerospace & Defense

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

N/A

Margin

N/A

Fundraise

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Order

N/A

Capex

N/A

0 of 0 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

  • The company expects revenue to grow at a CAGR of 45% to 50% over FY26 and FY27, driven solely by its core business excluding recent acquisitions.
  • Growth is supported by a healthy order book and multiple products entering the production phase.
  • Broadly, similar to defense PSUs' past 30%+ CAGR growth due to Atmanirbhar initiatives, the private sector defense companies foresee comparable growth, albeit with joint execution alongside PSUs.
  • By December, significant new orders (potentially worth INR2,00,000 crores across various programs) are expected to be released by the Ministry of Defense.
  • Operating margins are projected to expand starting FY26 due to production ramp-up, despite some moderation in later FY26 and FY27 due to ongoing capex.
  • From FY27 onwards, working capital cycle days are expected to reduce by 100 to 120 days, enhancing liquidity and operational efficiency.

Margin guidance

  • Revenue expected to grow at a CAGR of 45% to 50% over FY26 and FY27 driven by core business and new products entering production phase.
  • Operating margin to improve in the first half of FY26 due to better operating leverage and product mix.
  • Margin expansion to moderate in latter half of FY26 and into FY27 due to ongoing capex.
  • From FY28 onwards, margins expected to expand further as systems enter core production and facility utilization improves.
  • PAT margin improved to 13% in Q1 FY26 from 9% in Q1 FY25, indicating strong margin trajectory.
  • Promoter is cautious on making specific quantifications beyond FY27 but indicates steady growth in margins and profitability thereafter.
  • Working capital cycle expected to reduce by 100-120 days from FY27, improving cash flow and operational efficiency.

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Fundraise plans

No information is provided regarding the same in the latest conference call.

Order book

  • Current order book stands at around INR 735 crores as of the latest update.
  • Expecting significant orders from defense programs like QRSAM, MIGM, Akash-NG, and others.
  • Ministry of Defense projected INR 2,00,000 crores worth of orders to be released in the next six months.
  • Orders likely to be shared between public sector units and private players, including Apollo.
  • Specific large orders such as QRSAM expected before December; BDL expected to place orders to vendors soon after.
  • MIGM order expected within the financial year but exact timeline and quantum not finalized yet.
  • Orders for components in programs like MPATGM are pending and expected before September.
  • Emergency procurement and naval sector orders also anticipated to contribute to the pipeline.
  • The company is actively participating in multiple missile and mine programs, with expected large-scale order inflows in the near term.

Capex plans

  • The company is undergoing significant capital expenditure (capex) in a major expansion.
  • Unit 3 facility is expected to start occupation from October, with operational listing targeted by December.
  • Phase two of the capex has already started and is progressing smoothly as per schedule, with no delays reported.
  • The ongoing capex aims to support increased production capacity and improve working capital efficiency, targeting a reduction of 100 to 120 days in the working capital cycle from FY27 onwards.
  • Consultants including ex-DRDO senior scientists have been appointed to aid in technology transfer and operational improvements, particularly related to the IDL acquisition.
  • The acquisition and integration of IDL will enable backward integration and expansion into propulsion and warhead capabilities.
  • Capex and system production ramp-up are expected to positively impact operating margins from the latter part of FY26 and beyond.

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