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Aptech LtdQ4 FY24

Aptech Ltd

Q4 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Retail business growth expected at 30% to 40% over next 2-3 years, combining same-center sales growth (~20-22%) and new center additions (8-18%).
  • Institutional (Enterprise) business anticipated to grow similarly by 30% to 40%, despite longer sales cycles (~9 months).
  • Existing centers showing strong same-center sales growth, 53% in FY23, which supports revenue expansion.
  • Expansion strategy includes growth in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities (currently covering 150-160 cities) and international markets targeting new towns and countries.
  • New verticals like gaming, aviation, and online platforms expected to contribute to future growth.
  • Overall, margins expected to improve due to operating leverage as revenue grows.
  • For H2 FY23, institutional business expected to add about INR 135 crores revenue, indicating healthy momentum.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Aptech expects sustainable growth over the next 2-3 years, with retail and institutional business growth projected at 30% to 40%.
  • Same-center sales growth has been strong, with FY23 showing a 53% increase, supporting profitability.
  • Profit Before Tax (PBT) is expected to grow even faster than revenue; if revenues grow by 30%-40%, PBT could grow by 40%-50% or higher.
  • Margins are expected to improve due to operating leverage and fixed costs being contained.
  • The retail business anticipates about 20%-22% growth from existing centers and 8%-18% from new center additions.
  • New initiatives (online platforms, aviation, preschool) are expected to contribute meaningfully in the near future.
  • The company aims to turn new business units profitable within 18 months, else exit.
  • Overall, EPS grew 43% over 9 months FY22 and is 63% higher than FY20, reflecting strong earnings momentum.

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Fundraise plans

The transcript on pages 7 to 16 of Aptech Limited's Q3 FY23 earnings call does not mention any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity. Key points relevant to fundraising: - The company has sufficient cash in bank; no mention of need for fresh equity or debt. - There are plans to look at acquisitions using available cash, implying no immediate fundraising requirement. - Discussion highlights focus on profitable growth, margin improvement, and controlled cash burn (about INR 1 crore per quarter in ed-tech venture). - No discussions or questions raised by analysts regarding new fundraisings. In summary, as of this earnings call on February 16, 2023, Aptech Limited has not announced or indicated any imminent or planned fundraising through debt or equity.

Order book

Yes
  • The company won an order from an autonomous education body associated with the Central Government.
  • In Q3 FY23, a good number of tests for this order have been delivered.
  • A significant chunk of this order will be executed in the fourth quarter of FY23.
  • The total order value targeted for the second half (H2) of FY23 is INR 135 crores.
  • The company is well on track to achieve this order value in H2 FY23.
  • The overall performance indicates steady execution and timely delivery of pending orders.

Capex plans

Yes
- Aptech Limited has done a lot of capex despite paying out dividends (INR 22 crores) and maintaining cash levels, indicating ongoing capital investments. (Page 5) - The company is expanding delivery capabilities in the Enterprise Business Group (EBG), crossing a milestone of one lakh exams per shift in the last quarter, showing operational and possibly capital expansion. (Page 3) - There is a focus on adding new centers in the Retail business, which implies investments in infrastructure and partnerships to increase scale. (Page 17) - The company emphasizes technology enablement across student recruitment, delivery, and placement models as a key growth and efficiency driver, hinting at strategic tech investments. (Page 8) - The management indicated new initiatives like online platform tie-ups (e.g., with HCL) and emerging verticals such as aviation and pre-school as future growth areas, which may require strategic investments. (Page 13 & 17) No specific future capex amounts or detailed plans were disclosed.

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