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Atlantaa LtdQ2 FY17

Atlantaa Ltd Q2 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 39.6Market Cap: ₹333 CrSector: Construction

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 4

Fundraise

Yes

Order

No

Capex

Yes

2 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Company expects a revenue jump of over 50% from the last fiscal year.
  • EPC segment likely to increase significantly due to the upcoming Gujarat HAM project.
  • Arbitration awards worth about Rs. 200 crores expected in the current fiscal, already realizing Rs. 34.4 crores.
  • EBITDA margins: Arbitration awards ~85%-90%, toll collections ~90%, EPC and real estate 20%-25%.
  • Order book stands at around Rs. 1,500 crores, providing visibility for over 2 years.
  • Plan to bid for an additional Rs. 800-1,000 crores worth of projects in the current fiscal.
  • Real estate projects progressing with affordable housing focus, especially Thane (Rs. 40-45 crores expected revenue this year) and Jodhpur projects.
  • New projects like Atlanta Heights expected to start impacting revenue from next year.
  • Financial close expected soon for Gujarat HAM project, with construction revenue anticipated from October 2017.

Margin guidance

Category 4
  • Atlanta Limited expects a significant revenue jump of over 50% in FY18 compared to last fiscal.
  • EBITDA margins are strong: ~90% for toll projects, 20-25% for EPC and real estate projects.
  • Arbitration awards of around Rs. 200 crores expected in FY18, with Rs. 34.4 crores realized in Q1.
  • EPC segment likely to see growth, especially with the upcoming Gujarat HAM project starting around October 2017.
  • Real estate segment anticipates revenues of Rs. 40-45 crores from Thane project in FY18, with ~20% EBITDA margin.
  • Cost pressures due to GST and material cost increases are expected but partially offset by government claims.
  • Standalone debt expected to be reduced further, aiming to become debt-free by end of FY18, improving financial viability.
  • The company aims to infuse Rs. 232 crores equity in the Sabarkantha project, supporting future growth.
  • Overall, positive earnings and cash flow outlook with improved bottom-line expected from arbitration awards and new projects.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company plans to infuse Rs. 232 crores as equity into the Sabarkantha HAM project over two years.
  • Currently, the equity infusion is partly planned, with about 50% being infused initially.
  • They are targeting financial closure for the Gujarat HAM project (Shamlaji-Chiloda) by October 2017.
  • Debt of around Rs. 542 crores is planned for the Gujarat HAM project to finance part of the Rs. 1,150 crores EPC contract.
  • No specific mention of new fundraising beyond the equity infusion and planned debt for the Gujarat HAM project.
  • The company is on track to become debt-free on a standalone basis by the end of the current financial year, implying no immediate standalone debt fundraising.
  • They aim to use arbitration awards receivables (~Rs. 1100 crores expected over two years) partly for debt repayment and partly to support future projects.

Order book

No
  • As of June 30, 2017, Atlanta Limited's order book stands at around Rs. 1,500 crores (standalone basis, excluding JV project closed with ARSS Infrastructure).
  • The company is qualified to bid for individual projects up to Rs. 1,400 crores with NHAI and other government departments.
  • Currently bidding for projects worth over Rs. 1000 crores in the fiscal year, targeting to add Rs. 800-1000 crores more.
  • The bidding book has projects worth more than Rs. 1,000 crores, with a success ratio of about 12%.
  • Real estate projects provide additional revenue visibility with ongoing and planned developments totaling around Rs. 585 crores in project cost.
  • Financial closure for the Gujarat HAM project expected by October 2017, with commencement thereafter.
  • Overall order book provides revenue visibility for over 2 years.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Atlanta Limited plans to invest Rs. 232 crores as equity in the Sabarkantha HAM project over two years, with about 50% equity infusion expected initially.
  • The company aims to prudently bid for new EPC projects worth Rs. 800-1000 crores in the current fiscal year, focusing on projects with better margins and existing machinery compatibility.
  • Real estate development projects are underway with visibility for the next 2-3 years, including:
  • - Atlanta Enclave Phase II at Thane (0.75 million sq ft) costing Rs. 350 crores.
  • - Olympic Lifestyles in Jodhpur under affordable housing with Rs. 160 crores project cost.
  • - Atlanta Heights at Kandivali (0.15 million sq ft) with Rs. 75 crores project cost in initial development.
  • Financial closure for the Shamlaji-Chiloda HAM project (approx Rs. 1150 crores EPC contract) is expected by October 2017, after which construction will commence.
  • The company is becoming debt-free on a standalone basis by this financial year-end, supporting strategic investments.

How does Atlantaa Ltd rank vs peers in Construction?

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