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Bharat Forge LtdQ1 FY25

Bharat Forge Ltd Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 2,145P/E: 77.5Market Cap: ₹91.5K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Bharat Forge expects continuous annual growth in sales and revenue over the coming years, rather than focusing on quarter-to-quarter fluctuations.
  • Defense segment is projected to grow 15% to 20% in FY26, supported by a strong order book of nearly Rs.9,500 crores and new programs.
  • Multi-year new orders worth approximately Rs.7,000 crores, including Rs.5,000 crores in defense and Rs.2,000 crores in component businesses, indicate robust growth.
  • Aerospace industrial exports have grown 4x in five years and are expected to continue this high growth trajectory. A new aerospace forging and machining facility is underway.
  • E-mobility products are at maturity, with revenue progression and break-even anticipated during the second half of the year.
  • US manufacturing operations show strong order growth with capacity expansions planned, contributing to future revenue.
  • The company is also expanding its domestic business positively across segments.
  • Overall, the outlook is optimistic despite tariff uncertainties, supported by diversification and strong customer relationships.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Defense segment expected to grow 15% to 20% in FY26, driven by new orders including ATAGS and new programs both in India and internationally.
  • Aerospace exports projected to continue rapid growth, having grown 4x in five years, supported by new dedicated forging and machining facilities.
  • E-mobility segment expected to see revenue progression and approach profitability ("black numbers") by the end of H2 FY26.
  • JS Auto casting business delivering strong growth with 15%+ EBITDA margin and profits doubling in FY25, on a trajectory to four-digit revenue soon.
  • Stable margin expansions observed with standalone business improving margins by 100 bps; consolidated EBITDA margins expanded by 180 bps YoY to 18.2%.
  • New multi-year orders worth ~Rs.7,000 crores (Rs.5,000 crores defense, Rs.2,000 crores components) reinforce growth pipeline.
  • CAPEX planned at around Rs.500 crores for FY26 to support expansion.
  • Overall positive outlook with diversification and international growth initiatives supporting sustained earnings growth.

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Fundraise plans

  • No specific mention of any current or future new fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • The company reported a robust balance sheet with surplus funds and a net long-term loan of about Rs.1,336 crores as of FY25.
  • They have completed the CAPEX for overseas greenfield projects and do not foresee much investment in overseas entities for the next year.
  • The focus appears to be on utilizing existing resources efficiently and growing through operational performance and strategic acquisitions (e.g., American Axles India Assets transaction).
  • No explicit plans shared regarding raising new capital through debt or equity during the call.

Order book

Yes
  • Bharat Forge secured new business worth Rs. 6,959 crores across all key businesses in FY25.
  • The current order book is approximately Rs. 9,500 crores.
  • Multi-year orders worth roughly Rs. 7,000 crores have been received, with Rs. 5,000 crores from defense and Rs. 2,000 crores from component businesses.
  • The ATAGS order (phase-I) is Rs. 3,417 crores for 307 guns, with Bharat Forge having 60% share; total Indian requirement is close to 2,000 guns.
  • Defense order book and new programs are expected to drive 15% to 20% growth in FY26.
  • Revenues from the ATAGS order are expected to start reflecting from Q4 FY26, spread over two years.
  • The company is working on many new programs and expanding into new geographies, indicating a healthy pipeline of pending orders.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Bharat Forge's CAPEX for Indian operations was Rs.750 crores in FY25.
  • The company has completed CAPEX for its overseas Greenfield aluminum forging projects in the US.
  • No significant overseas capital investments are foreseen for the next year.
  • For FY26, combined CAPEX (standalone and consolidated) is expected to be around Rs.500 crores.
  • The company is pursuing investments in electronics manufacturing, including setting up SMT lines for servers and electronics, leveraging existing KPTL investments.
  • New dedicated forging and machining facilities for aerospace are being set up, backed by business wins and customer commitments.
  • The American Axles India Assets Transaction is expected to be concluded by end of June, marking a strategic acquisition to grow market presence and content per vehicle.

How does Bharat Forge Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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