CEAT LtdQ2 FY24

CEAT Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹3,287P/E: 21.3Market Cap: ₹13.6K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Volume growth in Q2 FY24 was 7% year-on-year, with exports growing about 10%.
  • Replacement volumes grew around 4% year-on-year; domestic off-highway and passenger car tyres show strong double-digit and significant growth respectively.
  • OEM business is robust with volume growth around 10%; truck/bus volumes grew over 35%.
  • Capacity utilization is improving, with overall utilization around 80%; expansion plans expected to add INR 2,000 crores revenue potential by FY26.
  • Current capacity peak revenue potential is slightly over INR14,000 crores (as of March 31, 2023) excluding upcoming expansions.
  • Adding new assets and debottlenecking are expected to increase revenue potential by INR 2,000 crores plus by FY26.
  • OTR capacity to ramp from current 105 tons to 160 tons by FY24-end; further expansion under evaluation based on utilization.
  • Focus on higher rim-size tyres suggests positive volume and margin growth over next 2-3 years.

See what CEAT Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

No
  • No explicit mention of any new fundraising through debt or equity in the current or future period.
  • The company has reduced debt by about INR 450 crores over the last three quarters but does not plan to reduce debt aggressively to INR 1,000 crores.
  • Current debt level is about INR 1,890 crores with a healthy debt-to-EBITDA ratio of around 1.1-1.2 and debt-equity of about 0.5x.
  • The company prefers to use cash generated beyond the capex plan for productive investments rather than aggressively deleveraging.
  • Capital expenditure for FY '24 is around INR 800 crores focusing on bite-sized expansions without plans for large greenfield projects.
  • No mention of issuing equity or raising funds beyond existing capex and working capital needs.

See what CEAT Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Full-year capex expected around INR 800 crores for FY '24, slightly up from earlier estimate of INR 750 crores. (Page 5)
  • INR 170 crores capex spent in Q2, totaling INR 390 crores in H1 FY '24. (Page 5)
  • Capex includes routine spend (~INR 200 crores) on R&D, IT, digital, moulds, maintenance. (Page 9)
  • Around INR 600 crores focused on capacity expansion:
  • - Truck & Bus Radial (TBR) ~INR 100 crores
  • - Off-The-Road (OTR) tyres ~INR 250 crores
  • - Downstream capacity additions at Nagpur and debottlenecking at Halol. (Page 9)
  • Ambernath plant expanding upstream specialty capacity from 105 to 160 tons/day, expected commissioning by Q1/Q2 FY '25. (Pages 9, 16)
  • Strategy focused on "bite-sized" capex yearly to maintain margin and return consistency, no major greenfield expected for next 2 years. (Pages 4, 10)
  • Acquisition: CEAT made TyresNmore a fully owned subsidiary through INR 20 crores investment. (Page 6)

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