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CEAT LtdQ2 FY24

CEAT Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 3,334P/E: 17.4Market Cap: ₹13.0K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Overall volume growth for FY '25 is expected to be close to double digits, driven by replacement and export segments (Page 6, 7).
  • Replacement segment volume growth is strong, with continued robust rural demand supported by good monsoons (Page 7).
  • International business expects continued double-digit revenue growth, targeting 25% contribution in 2-3 years (Page 8, 9).
  • OEM growth is expected to be muted but positive in 2-wheelers and passenger vehicles, with incremental gains in truck-bus radial as new capacity comes online (Page 7, 8).
  • Export growth momentum to continue, especially in US (agri radials, truck-bus radials, passenger car radials), Europe, and LATAM markets (Page 8, 9).
  • Price hikes are progressively taken and expected to flow through fully in Q2 and H2, supporting revenue growth despite RM inflation (Page 4, 12).
  • Aggressive investment in R&D, marketing, and premiumization to support accelerated growth and margin improvement (Page 4, 5).

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • CEAT expects overall volume growth of close to 9% Y-o-Y, led by replacement and export with double-digit growth; OEM growth is muted at low single digits.
  • Replacement segment growth is supported by robust rural demand, farm, 2-wheeler, passenger, and truck-bus radial segments, with expectations of acceleration in H2 FY25.
  • International business is targeted for 20% saliency in Q1, aiming for 25% in 2-3 years, with strong growth potential in LATAM, Europe, and US markets.
  • Price hikes of 3-4% are planned to offset raw material inflation, mainly natural rubber, which increased significantly.
  • Marketing and R&D investments remain above industry average to drive premiumization and innovation.
  • New capacity at Chennai (TBR) by Q2 expected to boost growth in truck-bus radial segment.
  • Operational efficiencies and cost controls are expected to improve margins over time.
  • Profit after tax for Q1 was INR 154 crores, showing growth over prior quarters, indicating positive earnings momentum.

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Fundraise plans

  • CEAT Limited reported a consolidated debt of INR 1,647 crores for the quarter, showing a marginal increase of INR 18 crores over quarter 4 of the previous year.
  • Debt to EBITDA stands at a healthy 1.1 and debt to equity at 0.4.
  • The company generated healthy operating cash flow that fully funded the quarter’s capex of INR 254 crores from internal accruals.
  • No mention of current or planned new fundraising through debt or equity was made during the Q1 FY '25 earnings call.
  • The company emphasized strong internal cash generation and disciplined working capital management to fund growth.
  • Overall, CEAT seems focused on leveraging existing financial strength rather than raising new funds immediately.

Order book

Yes
  • CEAT Limited has a healthy order base in its international business, particularly in key markets like Latin America, Europe, and the US.
  • The company expects the US market to progressively perform well, with growth in truck-bus radial (TBR) and passenger car radial (PCR) segments.
  • Domestic truck-bus radial capacity at Halol is 100% sold out.
  • Additional capacity is expected from the Chennai TBR facility by the end of Q2 FY25, which will enable renewed growth in the truck-bus radial segment.
  • The international order book supports continued double-digit growth in exports.
  • CEAT is optimistic about increasing market share and volume growth backed by a strong order pipeline in both domestic and export markets.

Capex plans

Yes
  • CEAT Limited indicated a capex guidance of around INR 1,000 crores for the year.
  • They spent about INR 254 crores in Q1 FY '25, funded primarily through internal accruals.
  • Expansion projects are progressing as per plan.
  • Capacity at Ambernath stands at 105 tons with about 70% utilization; Phase 2 expansion for 160 tons is gaining traction.
  • Chennai TBR (Truck-Bus Radial) capacity expected to come on stream by end of Q2.
  • Investments continue in R&D at levels higher than industry average to drive innovation and product development.
  • Focused capex on improving supply chain efficiency using digital modes.
  • Chennai factory planned for light out certification to reduce energy consumption, wastage, and improve quality.
  • Continuous investment in brand strengthening, premiumization, and digital marketing.
  • Emphasis on expansion in domestic market, electrification platforms, international business, and premium segments.

How does CEAT Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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1CEAT Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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