Five-Star Bus.FiQ4 FY23

Five-Star Bus.Fi Q4 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹414.85P/E: 11.1Market Cap: ₹12.2K CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 4

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Five-Star Business Finance plans to grow its Assets Under Management (AUM) by over 30% year-on-year for the next 2 to 3 years, driven by three primary levers:
  • - Adding 50 to 60 new branches annually, mainly in South India (~80% of new branches).
  • - Increasing the number of officers per existing branch, currently averaging just below 8, targeting gradual increases to 9 or 10 over time.
  • - Slight increases in average ticket size, currently around INR 3.2 lakhs, expected to return to pre-COVID levels of INR 3.3-3.5 lakhs, influenced by inflationary trends.
  • Branch expansion is expected to enable 20% growth even without new branches.
  • Operating leverage improvements are anticipated as senior management bandwidth expands for a larger company size.
  • The company expects steady-state return on assets (ROA) of about 6-6.5% and return on equity (ROE) above 20% in 3-5 years.

See what Five-Star Bus.Fi management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company raised over INR1,400 crores of incremental debt during the recent quarter at an all-in cost of about 9.5%.
  • For the full year, incremental debt raised was INR3,100 crores at an all-in cost of about 9.2%.
  • The borrowing profile is well diversified with around 50 lenders, banks contributing about 56% of debt.
  • There's a focus on granularizing and diversifying debt sources further, including targeting AMCs for NCD subscriptions.
  • Comfortable operating at a leverage of around 4 to 4.5 times, translating to 3 to 3.5 times debt-to-equity.
  • Cost of borrowing has room to reduce further due to improved rating (A to AA) and capital adequacy.
  • No explicit mention of equity fundraising plans, emphasis remains on debt fundraising to support 30%+ growth and branch expansion.
  • The company plans to continue exploring securitization and maintain preference for bank term loans as sticky funding.

See what Five-Star Bus.Fi management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
- Five-Star Business Finance is making significant investments in technology aimed at improving straight-through processing (STP) to reduce manual file handling and cut turnaround times. (Page 24) - Investment in senior management to scale operations effectively as the company grows towards a larger asset base (INR7,000 crores target). (Page 24) - Branch and people expansion planned evenly across Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Karnataka, with a minimum of 50 to 60 branches to be added. (Page 13, 24) - Continuing to invest in non-South regions such as Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, and Chhattisgarh, where currently close to 50-55 branches exist. (Page 13) - No mention of significant expected operating leverage to reduce cost-to-assets drastically; cost-to-assets expected around 6% in steady state. (Page 24) In summary, capex is primarily focused on tech enhancement, senior management, and geographic branch expansion.

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