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Five-Star Business Finance LtdQ2 FY24

Five-Star Business Finance Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 497P/E: 12.3Market Cap: ₹13.5K CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Five-Star Business Finance aims for 30%+ AUM growth for the full financial year FY25, consistent with prior guidance.
  • Disbursement growth is expected around 25%-27% YoY, with loan ticket size increasing slightly to about 4 lakhs.
  • Number of loans disbursed is projected to grow 18%-20% YoY, slightly lower than disbursement growth due to increased ticket sizes.
  • The company plans to open about 80-90 new branches and 70-90 split branches in FY25, supporting expansion.
  • Maharashtra is a key focus market for expansion this year, after a pause due to COVID.
  • Growth in Central India (Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh) is strong, with 50% CAGR in these states, and further branch additions planned.
  • Tamil Nadu is expected to catch up strongly in growth compared to previous year.
  • The strategy involves calibrated, steady growth with risk management via branch splits and calibrated loan-to-value (LTV) ratios (40%-50%).

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Five-Star Business Finance aims for a 30% CAGR in AUM growth over the next 2-3 years.
  • PAT for Q1 FY25 hit a record ₹252 crores, indicating strong profitability momentum.
  • ROE stood at an all-time high 18.95% for the quarter, expected to cross 19% for the full year.
  • Operating cost-to-income ratio is guided to remain stable around 35%, supporting margin stability.
  • NIMs have compressed slightly (16.72% in Q1 FY25) due to increased leverage but spreads remain steady at ~14%.
  • Steady-state targets (2.5-3.5 years) include ROA close to 7% and ROE above 20%, with spreads around 12-13%.
  • EPS growth expected to be supported by scalable business model via branch additions (~80-90 new plus 70-90 split branches yearly).
  • No immediate share dilution planned, maintaining existing diluted shares at ~29.5 crores.
  • Dividend announcements have been hinted as "good news very soon," potentially impacting earnings retention.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Five-Star Business Finance is consciously moving towards raising funds from the capital markets, preparing for eventualities and transitioning to an AA rating entity, as mandated by SEBI to source at least 25% of borrowings from capital markets incrementally.
  • In the steady state (over the next 2-3 years), the borrowing mix is expected to be around 50% from banks and 50% from capital markets, including securitization and DFIs.
  • Currently, banks are willing to lend sufficiently, but diversification of funding sources is a strategic priority.
  • No immediate increase in cost of funds expected due to favorable bank lending rates and IFC funding.
  • Plans for 70 to 90 new branches this financial year indicate some clear addition of officers and potential corresponding funds needed for expansion.
  • No explicit mentions of immediate equity fundraising, current focus is on optimizing and diversifying debt sourcing.

Order book

The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Five-Star Business Finance Limited. The discussion primarily focuses on: - Branch expansion strategy including splitting larger branches, particularly in South India and Central India. - Plans to open 70 to 90 new branches in new locations within the financial year. - Focus on Tier-5 and Tier-6 cities rather than Tier-3 cities to stay closer to customers. - Loan disbursement growth expected in the range of 25% to 27% aligned with a 30%+ overall AUM growth. - Active loans increased by 29% YoY to about 4.1 lakhs, indicating a growing borrower base. - No direct mention of order book or pending orders as this is a financial services company focused on lending rather than product orders. Hence, no specific data on orderbook or pending orders is disclosed in the provided transcript.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Five-Star Business Finance is currently implementing a strategic branch restructuring, converting bigger branches into "split branches" to reduce risk and spread presence across geographies. This process is expected to be completed over the next 9 to 12 months (Page 27).
  • The company is investing in expanding branch presence in Central India (Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, and other geographies), with 14 of 27 newly opened branches in the current quarter located there. This indicates ongoing capital investment in new markets, though growth will be calibrated and gradual (Page 17).
  • There is a conscious capital market borrowing strategy as the company prepares to become a AA-rated entity, which includes diversification of funding sources, showing strategic financial investments (Page 21).
  • No explicit mention of large future capital expenditure on fixed assets or strategic investments beyond branch network expansion and borrowing diversification in the transcript.

How does Five-Star Business Finance Ltd rank vs peers in Finance?

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1Five-Star Business Finance Ltd
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