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Inox Wind LtdQ2 FY25

Inox Wind Ltd

Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

4 of 5 growth signals are positive — a strong management growth story.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • FY '26 execution guidance of 1,200 MW, confident of achieving this target.
  • Expecting a ramp-up in execution from Q3 onwards, with H1 typically 30-35% of annual execution.
  • Order book stands at 3.1-3.2 GW, covering about two years of orders; capacity to execute at 2.5 GW currently.
  • Plans to expand manufacturing capacity, including a new blade plant in South India and nacelles factory in Ahmedabad fully operational.
  • Anticipate overall wind capacity additions of 5-6 GW in the financial year, growing to 7-8 GW and potentially up to 10 GW in the near future.
  • INOX Wind expects to scale execution to about 2 GW in the next year.
  • Focus on profitability over mere volumes; profitability has outperformed guidance historically.
  • Multi-gigawatt MoUs and LoIs in pipeline expected to convert to firm orders soon.

Margin guidance

Category 2
- INOX Wind targets execution of 1,200 MW in FY '26, indicating strong volume growth. - Management emphasizes profitability over volume, targeting 18%-19% EBITDA margins for consolidated wind business. - Q1 FY '26 PAT grew 134% YoY; cash PAT up 168% YoY, showing significant profitability improvement. - Execution focused on complete sets and working capital efficiency, enhancing margins. - Expansion in O&M portfolio to 5.1 GW signals recurring revenue growth with higher margins. - Strategic inorganic growth through acquisitions (e.g., 2 GW O&M assets) expected to boost profits. - Demerger of substation business from Inox Green to improve RoE/ROCE by eliminating depreciation (~INR50-55 crores annually). - Management confident of meeting or exceeding guidance, with profitability growth outpacing revenue growth. Overall, INOX Wind foresees robust earnings and operating profits growth driven by volume scale-up, margin improvement, operational efficiency, and strategic expansions.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • No specific details on any new fundraising through debt or equity were mentioned in the excerpts.
  • The company recently completed a successful rights issue that was oversubscribed 2.13 times.
  • Promoters fully subscribed their entitlement of around INR 560 crores, indicating strong promoter confidence.
  • Post-merger of IWEL and IWL, the entire NCRPS on the balance sheet has been eliminated.
  • Management did not provide guidance or mention any plans for additional fundraising either through debt or equity during the call.
  • Focus appears to be on executing existing orders and expanding operations organically and inorganically, rather than raising new capital at this time.

Order book

Yes
  • Current order book stands at approximately 3.1 to 3.2 gigawatts, covering roughly two years of orders.
  • The company maintains a healthy and well-diversified order book with marquee clients and a mix of turnkey and equipment supply contracts.
  • Management expects a strong upcoming bid pipeline, with 12 to 15 gigawatts of PPAs signed between April and July 2025, and 25 to 30 gigawatts of pending PPAs awaiting financial closure.
  • Around 10 gigawatts of hybrid, wind, and solar projects are expected to proceed to contract award over the next quarter.
  • The company anticipates converting a substantial portion of their multi-gigawatt order pipeline into firm orders in the coming months.
  • Inox Wind expects order inflows strong enough to maintain a minimum base order book of 3 gigawatts for future years.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Operationalized new 1200 MW nacelle and hub manufacturing unit near Ahmedabad, Gujarat.
  • Deployed first set of cranes at project sites.
  • Commenced transformer manufacturing facility under Inox Renewable Solutions.
  • Expanding blade manufacturing capacity with a new facility being set up in southern India (Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh).
  • Raised INR 175 crores at Inox Renewable Solutions at a valuation of approx. INR 7,400 crores.
  • Filed scheme for demerger of substation business from Inox Green and its merger into Inox Renewable Solutions; approval expected in 2-3 quarters, which will remove ~INR 1,000 crore gross block from balance sheet and reduce depreciation by INR 50-55 crores annually.
  • Rapidly expanding solar and wind O&M portfolio organically and inorganically; made investments in an entity owning ~2 GW of O&M assets.
  • Planning new factory setup in south India to improve execution capacity and market reach.

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