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Inox Wind LtdQ4 FY26

Inox Wind Ltd

Q4 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • The company is confident of achieving its FY '26 guidance of 1,200 megawatts and expects to maintain strong execution momentum beyond that, targeting around 2 gigawatts thereafter (Page 16, 17).
  • The order book is well diversified and currently covers more than two years (3.3 gigawatts), with ongoing bids and discussions indicating steady order inflow in coming years (Page 17, 6).
  • Revenue growth is expected from increased EPC execution, especially from Quarter 4 FY '25 onwards, as milestone completions accelerate (Page 9, 16).
  • Expansion into related businesses like crane services and transformer manufacturing is expected to improve margins and cash flow, with some revenue utilized internally (Page 16).
  • Market demand in India remains strong with annual awarding trajectories of around 50 gigawatts (including 10 GW for wind/hybrid), alongside 3-5 GW per annum from C&I segments, supporting long-term volume growth (Page 8).
  • Profitability per megawatt is expected to improve due to product upgrades, backward integration, and hybrid solar-wind projects (Page 16, 17).

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • The company maintains FY '26 guidance of 1,200+ MW execution with confidence in meeting or exceeding it.
  • EBITDA margin guidance stands at 17% for FY '26, with potential for further upgrades (100-200 bps improvement expected).
  • EPC execution and revenues are expected to accelerate from Q4 FY '25 onward, leading to better profitability per MW.
  • Backward integration initiatives (crane services, transformer manufacturing) will improve EBITDA margins and cash flows without increasing revenue significantly.
  • Sold-out order book of 3.3 GW supports steady revenue and earnings visibility over the next two years, reducing volatility.
  • Synergies from the group’s new solar manufacturing arm (Inox Solar) and hybrid contract bidding will open additional revenue streams and strengthen growth prospects.
  • Company expects gradual margin improvement due to business efficiencies and favorable execution to drive operating earnings growth.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no specific mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the provided pages.
  • The company discusses order pipeline, execution, margins, mergers, and new business initiatives but does not detail plans for raising capital via debt or equity.
  • Financial management comments focus on maintaining EBITDA margin guidance and executing large order books rather than fundraising.
  • The merger between Inox Wind and Inox Wind Energy is in final stages but unrelated to fresh capital raise.
  • Capex guidance for FY '26 and FY '27 is INR 50-75 crores, with no mention of external funding sources.

Order book

Yes
  • Inox Wind Limited currently has a strong and well-diversified order book of approximately 3.3 gigawatts, which broadly covers the next 2 years.
  • The company has already executed around 500 megawatts over the past year.
  • Order inflows over the last 2 years include about 500-600 megawatts from group companies, with the rest being external orders from strong third-party clients such as NTPC, CESC, Continuum, Hero, and Serentica.
  • The company is selective and focused on orders that offer good profitability and work with financially strong, reliable customers.
  • Multiple ongoing negotiations and tenders are in progress, including equipment supply and turnkey projects, with a sizable and healthy order pipeline.
  • The company does not pursue long-term MOUs; only firm orders of credible financial strength.
  • Continuous execution is happening, with a healthy mix of about 50% turnkey and 50% equipment supply expected going forward.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Capex guidance for FY '26 and FY '27 is between INR 50 crores to INR 75 crores.
  • The company is expanding into crane services and transformer manufacturing as part of backward integration.
  • These backward integration initiatives are expected to improve EBITDA margins and help cash flows through deferred payments.
  • The first set of cranes will be operationalized within Q4 FY '25 and reflected in margins from Q4 onwards.
  • Some initiatives related to insourcing and backward integration are yet to kick in fully and will contribute to margin improvement in subsequent quarters.
  • No large multi-year order book capex is planned since the company believes in booking 2-year order books only, avoiding MOUs or paper agreements for 3-5 years.

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