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JSW Energy LtdQ3 FY21

JSW Energy Ltd

Q3 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
Future growth expectations of JSW Energy Limited based on the call transcript include: - Power demand showed robust growth: 13% in H1 FY2022, with quarter two up by 9.9%. Peak power demand touched 200 GW in July 2021. - Merchant volume increased by 22% nationally; JSW Energy's net generation increased by 2%. - Expectation of continued power shortage due to insufficient investment in thermal capacity leading to increased merchant prices. - Renewable capacity addition needed at 35,000 MW per year to meet rising demand; current additions (~10 GW) lag behind demand growth (~10 GW per year). - Long-term PPAs likely to grow as DISCOMs absorb residual merchant capacity; new capacity to come mainly from renewables. - Focus on green energy expansion including hydro pump storage (1500 MW project MOU signed in Maharashtra), lithium-ion battery storage, and green hydrogen. - Merchant market volumes may reduce as capacity is tied up with PPAs, shifting towards long-term contracts. - Anticipate growth driven by renewables and storage solutions aligned with grid stability needs. Overall, JSW expects steady volume and revenue growth driven largely by renewable energy and medium- to long-term capacity tie-ups.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Power demand is showing robust growth, with 13% growth in H1 FY2022 and peak demand reaching 200 GW in July, supporting volume growth.
  • Total generation increased by 2%, thermal generation by 4%, while hydro slightly declined by 1%.
  • Merchant market sales surged 116%, contributing to a 10% rise in EBITDA to ₹1080 Cr in Q2 FY2022.
  • Profit after tax stood at ₹339 Cr, adjusted PAT at ₹414 Cr, and profit before tax grew 24% to ₹604 Cr.
  • Receivables are declining (19% YoY), and net debt reduced slightly, supporting financial health.
  • Power shortage and capacity constraints may keep merchant prices elevated, aiding future earnings.
  • Investment focus shifting to renewables and green energy, with new projects like hydro pump storage and lithium-ion battery storage pipeline.
  • No new thermal capacity expected; growth driven by renewable capacity additions and long-term PPAs.
  • Overall, earnings growth is expected to be driven by demand growth, higher merchant sales, and renewable capacity expansion.

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Fundraise plans

The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or future plans for fundraising through debt or equity. However, some relevant points include: - New projects, including renewable and hydro pump storage initiatives, are underway with MOUs and land acquisition in progress, which may imply future capital needs. - Reorganization of grey and green energy businesses is underway, with legal, tax, and financial advisors involved; a scheme will be presented to the board soon, suggesting potential structural or funding steps. - No direct statements about raising debt or equity in the near term. - Merchant capacity is expected to reduce as capacities get tied up via long-term PPAs, which might affect funding strategies, but no specific fundraising mentioned. - Emphasis that no new thermal capacity is being built without a PPA, implying funding linked to contract signings. In summary, no direct announcements regarding debt or equity fundraising were made on this call.

Order book

The transcript from the JSW Energy Limited Q2 FY2022 earnings call does not explicitly mention a specific current or expected orderbook or pending orders in exact figures. However, relevant insights related to projects and capacity include: - JSW Energy has signed an MOU with the Government of Maharashtra for a 1500 MW hydro pump storage project, currently in early stages (environment clearance, land acquisition). - The company is developing a pipeline of intermittency solutions including lithium-ion battery storage and hydro pump storage. - JSW is focused on securing resources, land, connectivity, and clearances prior to bid participation to ensure timely project execution (commissioning turnaround in few months). - Hydro pump storage and renewable projects are aimed at addressing grid intermittency and round-the-clock green power supply. - No detailed orderbook numbers or pending contracts were disclosed; focus is on strategic capacity tie-ups and long-term PPAs rather than merchant market exposure. Thus, while ongoing projects and MOUs exist, specific orderbook or pending order values are not provided.

Capex plans

Yes
  • JSW Energy is focusing on developing intermittency solutions including lithium-ion battery storage and hydro pump storage projects.
  • Signed an MOU with the Government of Maharashtra for a 1500 MW hydro pump storage project; currently working on environment clearance and land acquisition.
  • Planning to build grid-stabilizing projects to address renewable capacity intermittency; individual projects being less economically viable than grid solutions.
  • Reorganizing grey (thermal) and green (renewable and new energy initiatives like hydrogen) energy businesses; a final scheme is expected soon.
  • No new thermal capacity investments are planned; all incremental capacity investments will be in renewable energy.
  • Large-scale renewable capacity addition target: at least 35,000 MW per year needed to meet increasing demand.
  • Execution of projects expedited post securing bids, focusing on swift turnaround once resources, land, and clearances are in place.

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